TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Kigali: Andrej Martin vs Filip Jianu

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Filip Jianuof Andrej Martin, Filip Jianu
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,966
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,975

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,966 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4173…d3edbacked Andrej Martin50c25,403$12,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,709.5855646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Filip Jianu50c20,103$10,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,051.2917462.6%109 W · 65 L+34.2wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+35.2%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Andrej Martin0c5,603$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.292,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Filip Jianu68c4,299$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.62,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Filip Jianu65c3,458$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.663,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Filip Jianu63c2,895$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.141,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Filip Jianu68c2,460$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.876,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Filip Jianu77c2,315$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.322553.8%121 W · 104 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af8…a69ebacked Filip Jianu63c1,839$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x795f…fbdabacked Andrej Martin22c1,835$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.7211417.5%20 W · 94 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Andrej Martin33c1,659$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.191,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Andrej Martin34c1,649$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.2222337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Andrej Martin22c1,391$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.1281349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed Filip Jianu63c1,256$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.56742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Andrej Martin8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Filip Jianu64c1,221$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.854,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Filip Jianu66c946.51$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.397,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x260b…1ab1backed Filip Jianu67c895$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.35580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+57.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Filip Jianu63c824$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.1725957.5%149 W · 110 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Andrej Martin34c798.38$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.9529637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42ce…bdcfbacked Filip Jianu67c755.27$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.326168.9%42 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Andrej Martin35c750$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.53,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f95…b08bbacked Filip Jianu65c701.14$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.411045.5%50 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cee…3f91backed Andrej Martin20c644.83$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1279824.5%24 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a43…5e84backed Filip Jianu64c587$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.32955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Andrej Martin16c493.11$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.62,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Andrej Martin33c460.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4351243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Andrej Martin33c459.3$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.921,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Andrej Martin22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Filip Jianu71c443$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.141,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4da8…6511backed Filip Jianu64c437.5$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Filip Jianu70c435$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.4197046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Filip Jianu68c417.52$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.0245147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Filip Jianu65c403$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0596755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f4…4a4abacked Filip Jianu20c400$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3202445.8%11 W · 13 L+5.4wins+0.22per pick23cpaid+145.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbd12…5503backed Filip Jianu20c400$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201952.6%10 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.27per pick26cpaid+114.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Filip Jianu68c399.98$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.991,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Andrej Martin30c391.3$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.41,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Andrej Martin35c381.37$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.224,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe30c…3f38backed Filip Jianu80c346$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.21662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+43.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Filip Jianu66c336.61$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.361,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Filip Jianu66c304.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5713450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0b…17c3backed Filip Jianu20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402045%9 W · 11 L+6.5wins+0.32per pick13cpaid+273.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Andrej Martin31c299.98$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9929636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Filip Jianu65c285.71$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10042046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…61fdbacked Andrej Martin30c266.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010649.1%52 W · 54 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe574…1b45backed Andrej Martin18c257.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Filip Jianu67c238.42$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3273…0c24backed Filip Jianu63c230$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.12157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Andrej Martin35c223$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3232842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Filip Jianu70c223$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4873745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Filip Jianu64c219.36$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0599056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Andrej Martin23c216.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Filip Jianu64c214$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6240744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Filip Jianu68c207$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8999044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Filip Jianu63c203.17$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.1759954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefbb…8205backed Filip Jianu20c201.36$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.092951.7%15 W · 14 L+7.4wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+93.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5bcf…ef2fbacked Filip Jianu64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729755.7%54 W · 43 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Filip Jianu68c191$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4737342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dde…5e80backed Filip Jianu63c175$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.884156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Filip Jianu62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Filip Jianu68c158.09$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5984968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Andrej Martin39c153.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb240…b8d3backed Filip Jianu69c152.9$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Filip Jianu67c121.85$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.211,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae3…4dd4backed Filip Jianu62c105$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.964445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Filip Jianu69c101.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4532649.1%160 W · 166 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Filip Jianu68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3277967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Filip Jianu68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3226541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f74…4fccbacked Andrej Martin33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Filip Jianu67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Filip Jianu80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2042558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Andrej Martin32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Filip Jianu77c84.85$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.336,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b0…02c6backed Andrej Martin15c82.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.53807.5%6 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x167f…fa5ebacked Filip Jianu20c80.03$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.026456.3%36 W · 28 L+18.4wins+0.29per pick27cpaid+109.2%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x750d…566bbacked Filip Jianu75c74$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.516356.4%92 W · 71 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Andrej Martin26c65.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9361953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23c0…77babacked Filip Jianu68c61.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.812759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Andrej Martin26c60.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.923,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Andrej Martin39c55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3890340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcc4e…9487backed Filip Jianu77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked Filip Jianu68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1612659.5%75 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Andrej Martin32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Filip Jianu61c48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7279052.9%418 W · 372 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9548…1226backed Filip Jianu68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.127875.6%59 W · 19 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Filip Jianu67c43.74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4657252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Andrej Martin28c43.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2138460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Andrej Martin36c40.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.461,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e5…e2a2backed Filip Jianu63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1519762.9%124 W · 73 L+0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d42…0b66backed Filip Jianu73c37.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1522262.6%139 W · 83 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae2…8d89backed Andrej Martin33c36.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.184339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a44…27fbbacked Filip Jianu68c36.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.642466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked Filip Jianu69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.233268.8%22 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x646a…7eb2backed Filip Jianu77c35.61$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.191566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Andrej Martin35c33.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.881,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xa388…511fbacked Filip Jianu71c31.85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.243281.3%26 W · 6 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+27.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8c33…ff7cbacked Filip Jianu64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.253565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf69b…d240backed Filip Jianu60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1216959.2%100 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Andrej Martin37c29.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.912010%2 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-71%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.