TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3273…0c24

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Moutet (+1.5)backed Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.48
Sonmez vs. Paolini: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$727.15
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.77
Daniil Medvedev vs. Matteo Berrettini: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$141.37
Mexico City: Tibo Colson vs Miguel Tobonbacked Miguel Tobon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.8
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Humbert (+1.5)backed Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.3
Set 1 Winner: Keys vs Bencicbacked Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.14
Yokkaichi: Yasutaka Uchiyama vs Dan Addedbacked Dan Added · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Gibson (+1.5)backed Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$911Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$475.57
Fernandez vs. Pegula: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$144.81
Zadar: Stefano Travaglia vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.03
Murcia: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$57.72
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Damm (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$248.49
Miami Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$2,499
Set Handicap: Stearns (-1.5) vs Golubic (+1.5)backed Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,250.8
Cherbourg: Pavel Kotov vs Filippo Romanobacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$105.02
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.13
Cap Cana: Alexander Blockx vs Mariano Navonebacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$514.6
Kigali: Andrej Martin vs Filip Jianubacked Filip Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$85.1
Lugano: Joel Schwaerzler vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$49.01
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$340.4
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Rockford IceHogs vs. Iowa Wildbacked Rockford IceHogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$128.54
DEL: EHC Red Bull Muenchen vs. Koelner Haiebacked EHC Red Bull Muenchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.03
SHL: Faerjestad vs. Vaexjoebacked Faerjestad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$43.22
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.87
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$18.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+165.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+165.6%+$80.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODi Series South Africa vs Pakistan, Women: South Africa vs Pakistanbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$31.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+29.9%+$12.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,057.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.