Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Damm (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6b821b50d921453cf64985b46e72aeee0293fa9453d1e0c5c8870b474d0bcf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Zverev, Damm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,343 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Damm | 9c | 3,035$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Zverev | 67c | 2,025$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Zverev | 50c | 2,002$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.01 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +34.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…7d8dbacked Damm | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Damm | 26c | 1,231$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.94 | 373 | 30.3%113 W · 260 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Damm | 32c | 1,055$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.96 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…4153backed Zverev | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…0c24backed Zverev | 70c | 828.29$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.49 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Damm | 30c | 776.3$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.37 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Damm | 29c | 721.12$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.02 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Zverev | 67c | 486.57$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.57 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Zverev | 67c | 303.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…c7dabacked Zverev | 69c | 218.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zverev | 74c | 193.85$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Zverev | 66c | 189.73$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Zverev | 66c | 107.71$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Damm | 32c | 88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Zverev | 67c | 77.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Damm | 32c | 64.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…05e2backed Zverev | 71c | 52.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Damm | 32c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…2297backed Zverev | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Zverev | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Damm | 34c | 29.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e8…4577backed Zverev | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Damm (+1.5)this page
- Damm vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Damm vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Damm vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Open: Martin Damm vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.