Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Martin Damm vs Alexander Zverev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81aca2b5b443604a0a465765a16f59ba29569a266778e9684ad4940c5f387091
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexander Zverevof Martin Damm, Alexander Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,947 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Martin Damm | 1c | 24,513$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.63 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Martin Damm | 4c | 13,720$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.9 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Martin Damm | 3c | 6,246$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.86 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Martin Damm | 11c | 5,709$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.08 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Martin Damm | 7c | 5,000$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.69 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Martin Damm | 5c | 4,841$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.46 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Martin Damm | 9c | 4,345$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.21 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Martin Damm | 8c | 4,278$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.22 | 465 | 44.3%206 W · 259 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Martin Damm | 0c | 4,254$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Martin Damm | 9c | 1,717$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.28 | 373 | 30.3%113 W · 260 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Martin Damm | 11c | 1,388$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.67 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Martin Damm | 3c | 1,333$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Martin Damm | 8c | 1,080$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.41 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Martin Damm | 5c | 987$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Martin Damm | 7c | 890.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Martin Damm | 10c | 858$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Martin Damm | 11c | 666$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Martin Damm | 11c | 664.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Martin Damm | 7c | 635.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Martin Damm | 8c | 612.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Martin Damm | 9c | 567.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Martin Damm | 10c | 538.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Martin Damm | 8c | 512.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Martin Damm | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Martin Damm | 7c | 499.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Martin Damm | 10c | 410$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a51abacked Martin Damm | 10c | 398.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Martin Damm | 11c | 397.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Martin Damm | 9c | 368.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Martin Damm | 12c | 333.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed Martin Damm | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e8…b293backed Martin Damm | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Martin Damm | 9c | 205.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Martin Damm | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Martin Damm | 8c | 191.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Martin Damm | 10c | 173.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 690 | 51.2%353 W · 337 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Martin Damm | 9c | 166.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Martin Damm | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Martin Damm | 10c | 109.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…a376backed Martin Damm | 11c | 108.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8f…2c27backed Martin Damm | 16c | 61.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.5wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open: Martin Damm vs Alexander Zverevthis page
- Damm vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Damm vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Damm vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Damm (+1.5)Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.