TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Zadar: Stefano Travaglia vs Arthur Gea

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stefano Travagliaof Stefano Travaglia, Arthur Gea
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,159 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8cda…2de5backed Stefano Travaglia52c15,321$7,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,398.796157.4%35 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f9c…b3e0backed Stefano Travaglia51c7,838$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,837.872650%13 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Arthur Gea2c5,933$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.531,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Arthur Gea26c3,860$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.183,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Arthur Gea51c2,876$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.7811552.2%60 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Arthur Gea51c2,478$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.1220847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Arthur Gea50c2,451$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.162,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Arthur Gea1c2,196$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.96755.3%4 W · 71 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Arthur Gea51c2,137$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.8733346.2%154 W · 179 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Arthur Gea52c2,000$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03018247.3%86 W · 96 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Stefano Travaglia48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.9957645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a84…e271backed Stefano Travaglia50c1,900$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95013959%82 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Arthur Gea51c1,759$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.3924350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…6112backed Arthur Gea52c1,569$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Arthur Gea50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70097141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Arthur Gea1c1,300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19821.2%1 W · 81 L0.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x569e…4a85backed Stefano Travaglia50c1,176$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5888058.8%47 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Arthur Gea49c1,066$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.091,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Arthur Gea2c1,000$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19630%0 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Arthur Gea49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Arthur Gea51c984.69$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Stefano Travaglia53c949.28$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.2898240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Arthur Gea2c900$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1911826.3%31 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Arthur Gea52c889.24$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.8720336%73 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a4d…71c6backed Arthur Gea14c866.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207859%46 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Arthur Gea50c835.29$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.28,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3273…0c24backed Arthur Gea51c809.87$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.032157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Arthur Gea52c716.89$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37146473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Arthur Gea49c704$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.961,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Arthur Gea51c627.45$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32053058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Stefano Travaglia50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87c7…cfdbbacked Arthur Gea51c560.48$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.75520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa446…d9c6backed Arthur Gea53c551.11$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.0915354.2%83 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Stefano Travaglia49c542.96$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.726535.5%94 W · 171 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Arthur Gea52c516.92$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6115862.7%99 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Arthur Gea4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20258%2 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+182.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Arthur Gea50c496.48$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.691,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Arthur Gea51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-66.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xce3e…623bbacked Arthur Gea50c455.81$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Arthur Gea5c450$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244617.4%8 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Stefano Travaglia49c360.67$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.871,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec7…1e38backed Arthur Gea51c349.55$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Stefano Travaglia48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15610350.5%52 W · 51 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Arthur Gea4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127828.2%22 W · 56 L+11.6wins+0.15per pick13cpaid+31.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Arthur Gea50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035040.9%143 W · 207 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Arthur Gea4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12300%0 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Arthur Gea51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15094549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Stefano Travaglia64c293.28$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.912,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Stefano Travaglia48c266.08$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.364,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Arthur Gea52c263.1$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.811369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+41%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Stefano Travaglia50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12536038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Arthur Gea49c230$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.760856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Arthur Gea49c219.81$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.27,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Stefano Travaglia53c200$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4569249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Stefano Travaglia49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Arthur Gea51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e56…55bbbacked Arthur Gea51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0676…f0f0backed Arthur Gea51c188.1$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9320552.7%108 W · 97 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Arthur Gea59c185.14$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11021149.8%105 W · 106 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Stefano Travaglia48c170.73$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.787,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Stefano Travaglia50c168.22$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.836,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdeba…9ff9backed Arthur Gea37c163$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.312152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73cc…a140backed Arthur Gea50c152$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7630%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Stefano Travaglia51c149.81$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.034,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe2…e4d2backed Arthur Gea50c146$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734729.8%14 W · 33 L-9.7wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Arthur Gea51c145.41$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.812,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Arthur Gea51c138.71$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7444448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Arthur Gea49c137.75$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.391,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Stefano Travaglia39c134.62$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.123,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Arthur Gea51c118.59$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.481,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Arthur Gea53c116$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4896844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Arthur Gea50c107.96$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.71,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Stefano Travaglia51c107$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4338048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked Arthur Gea46c104$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.841376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+57.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3d9f…77aebacked Arthur Gea49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Stefano Travaglia51c100.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.982,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked Stefano Travaglia50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012142.1%51 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Stefano Travaglia50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5021847.2%103 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Stefano Travaglia50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd7f…3e85backed Arthur Gea50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Arthur Gea48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4830452%158 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Arthur Gea51c99.8$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.920643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Stefano Travaglia51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Arthur Gea52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Arthur Gea52c96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9277047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Arthur Gea51c96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9685748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Arthur Gea49c95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5555660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Stefano Travaglia49c95$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4554434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Stefano Travaglia49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.947447.9%227 W · 247 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Stefano Travaglia49c88.68$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.451,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e78…8bb1backed Arthur Gea53c84.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453050%15 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Arthur Gea51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.82,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ace…3afdbacked Arthur Gea52c78.85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4112152.1%63 W · 58 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f8a…7c22backed Arthur Gea51c76.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Arthur Gea52c76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5229244.5%130 W · 162 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Arthur Gea53c70.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.382,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Arthur Gea46c61.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.572,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Arthur Gea50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306956.5%39 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a57…913fbacked Arthur Gea50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.812361.8%76 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Arthur Gea36c59.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5857252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.