TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0676…f0f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
223
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT20552.7%108 W · 97 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 205 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.81
Rome: Dalibor Svrcina vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.81
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$279.48
Madrid Open: Ugo Humbert vs Terence Atmanebacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.96
Madrid Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.04
Shymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Sergey Fominbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$55.11
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$64.39
Savannah: Mitchell Krueger vs Daniel Galanbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$52.7
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.84
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaurbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$146.67
Madrid Open: Sebastian Ofner vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.92
Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$123.55
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.79
Gwangju: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.93
Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelkabacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.94
Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+156.1%+$274.26
Mexico City: Alex Hernandez vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.16
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.25
Monza: Rei Sakamoto vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.05
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+45%+$44.19
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.77
Set Handicap: Griekspoor (-1.5) vs Monfils (+1.5)backed Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$60.04
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.25
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Marton Fucsovics vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$42.43
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Roberto Bautista Agutbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.53
Showing 25 of 205 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+123.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$156.3
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+196%+$808.89
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.96
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.49
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Red Wings vs. Rangersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.32
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.4%+$162.98
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero (BO3) - Dfrag Wildcard LAN Playoffsbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$267.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+67.3%+$258.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$793.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.