NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c3b994d5a05758d4f0e69b3db51f8ff3589259ebf41c5c6bdd7ccf0cbb7c6ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Maple Leafs, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,406,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,766,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,406,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 684 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Islanders | 73c | 412,492$299,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,633.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Maple Leafs | 27c | 406,188$108,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,467.09 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Islanders | 71c | 389,842$276,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,215.61 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Maple Leafs | 27c | 346,890$94,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,532.35 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Maple Leafs | 28c | 200,000$56,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,999.99 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders | 74c | 136,691$100,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,058.54 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Islanders | 59c | 106,411$63,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,385.13 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Maple Leafs | 27c | 104,128$27,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,899.96 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Islanders | 71c | 92,039$65,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,361.69 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Islanders | 73c | 75,000$54,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,250 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Islanders | 72c | 73,425$52,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,559 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Islanders | 72c | 71,000$50,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,029.99 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Maple Leafs | 27c | 70,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,900 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Maple Leafs | 26c | 67,490$17,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,744.67 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Maple Leafs | 28c | 56,918$16,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,176.32 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Maple Leafs | 28c | 55,000$15,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,249.99 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Maple Leafs | 28c | 33,211$9,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,372.02 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Maple Leafs | 25c | 30,754$7,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,725.04 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed Maple Leafs | 30c | 28,069$8,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,409.39 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Islanders | 71c | 26,856$19,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,806.63 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Islanders | 70c | 25,142$17,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,654.04 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Maple Leafs | 30c | 24,900$7,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,470 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Islanders | 74c | 24,374$18,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,337.34 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Maple Leafs | 27c | 23,853$6,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,506.79 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Maple Leafs | 25c | 18,888$4,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,722 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Maple Leafs | 27c | 17,182$4,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,702.45 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Islanders | 73c | 15,000$10,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Islanders | 71c | 14,091$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.64 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Maple Leafs | 28c | 14,086$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Islanders | 72c | 13,889$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.89 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Maple Leafs | 28c | 13,819$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,884.51 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Islanders | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…8ccfbacked Islanders | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.97 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Maple Leafs | 28c | 9,554$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.2 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Islanders | 73c | 8,897$6,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.69 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Maple Leafs | 28c | 8,798$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.44 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Maple Leafs | 28c | 8,153$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.09 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Maple Leafs | 16c | 8,100$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.98 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed Maple Leafs | 28c | 7,764$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.84 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Maple Leafs | 13c | 7,688$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.44 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Islanders | 71c | 7,559$5,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.84 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Maple Leafs | 27c | 7,540$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.19 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Maple Leafs | 28c | 7,492$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.79 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Islanders | 73c | 6,989$5,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.02 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Maple Leafs | 30c | 6,723$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.41 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Maple Leafs | 29c | 6,683$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.22 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Maple Leafs | 5c | 6,481$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Maple Leafs | 28c | 6,417$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.76 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Maple Leafs | 29c | 6,400$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Maple Leafs | 30c | 6,312$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.72 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Maple Leafs | 27c | 6,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Islanders | 75c | 5,257$3,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.78 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Islanders | 67c | 5,211$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.08 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…0a2bbacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Maple Leafs | 27c | 4,900$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.99 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Maple Leafs | 30c | 4,688$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.47 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Maple Leafs | 28c | 4,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Maple Leafs | 28c | 4,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Maple Leafs | 28c | 4,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Maple Leafs | 24c | 4,351$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…1e61backed Maple Leafs | 0c | 4,155$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Islanders | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Maple Leafs | 31c | 4,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Maple Leafs | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Maple Leafs | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Maple Leafs | 28c | 3,946$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.54 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Maple Leafs | 28c | 3,656$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.23 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Maple Leafs | 16c | 3,595$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.68 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Islanders | 73c | 3,500$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Maple Leafs | 30c | 3,396$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Islanders | 62c | 3,314$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.85 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Maple Leafs | 28c | 3,063$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.37 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Maple Leafs | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…8f5fbacked Maple Leafs | 29c | 3,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Maple Leafs | 29c | 2,981$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.07 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Islanders | 55c | 2,942$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Maple Leafs | 20c | 2,926$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.97 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…383ebacked Maple Leafs | 31c | 2,908$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Maple Leafs | 9c | 2,851$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.45 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Islanders | 80c | 2,800$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.98 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Maple Leafs | 30c | 2,714$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.17 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maple Leafs | 17c | 2,701$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.38 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Maple Leafs | 27c | 2,667$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.98 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Islanders | 70c | 2,527$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.05 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…064ebacked Maple Leafs | 32c | 2,469$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Islanders | 55c | 2,464$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.64 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 24c | 2,439$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.1 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Islanders | 55c | 2,436$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.11 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 19c | 2,407$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.72 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x627e…f59fbacked Maple Leafs | 30c | 2,346$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.83 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Islanders | 72c | 2,222$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.16 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 2,200$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…aba8backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 2,188$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Maple Leafs | 30c | 2,102$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.72 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Maple Leafs | 29c | 2,095$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.79 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked Islanders | 72c | 2,083$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Maple Leafs | 29c | 2,056$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.27 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Islanders | 71c | 2,039$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.6 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Islanders | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.01 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Islandersthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Islanders: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Islanders won
- Spread: Islanders (-2.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.