NHL · resolved market
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa55ccd37f8135cc8c6a90fddcbe0ab1a84d0f2f31c1c4cdc4bb947f38f08e6b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Islanders, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 13,473$6,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,564.29 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Islanders | 51c | 7,280$3,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,566.96 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Islanders | 51c | 6,940$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400.82 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 4,760$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Islanders | 51c | 4,725$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.77 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Islanders | 52c | 4,669$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.23 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 4,199$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.51 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 3,053$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.05 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Islanders | 52c | 2,101$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.55 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Islanders | 46c | 2,065$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.02 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 2,015$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.36 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,618$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.74 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,243$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.84 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…889dbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,112$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.98 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Islanders | 54c | 1,083$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.56 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,027$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Islanders | 52c | 1,001$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.69 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Islanders | 51c | 951.68$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.32 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders | 48c | 846$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.92 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 845.22$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.16 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 845.22$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.16 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 845.22$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.16 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 845.22$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.16 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Islanders | 46c | 835.08$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.94 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Islanders | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.76 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 538$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.86 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Islanders | 50c | 500.39$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.2 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 466.91$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 384.88$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.01 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Islanders | 67c | 380.84$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.66 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Islanders | 50c | 363.85$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.92 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 337.14$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.67 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Maple Leafs | 18c | 322.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Maple Leafs | 4c | 307.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc499…2dfdbacked Islanders | 46c | 293.18$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0c…4cc5backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 291.9$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Islanders | 51c | 291.18$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Islanders | 46c | 290.28$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e19…a647backed Islanders | 51c | 256.24$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 255.35$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…0e8fbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 253.48$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6962…4846backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 252.2$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3f…6023backed Islanders | 49c | 247.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Maple Leafs | 26c | 236.52$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 225.88$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.68 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 212.66$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Islanders | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Islanders | 51c | 209$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Islanders | 52c | 204.46$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…d538backed Islanders | 64c | 204.06$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 204.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 201.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 197.39$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Islanders | 46c | 187.21$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…3c5abacked Islanders | 45c | 171.15$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Islanders | 46c | 168.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.87 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Islanders | 46c | 168.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.87 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Islanders | 46c | 168.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.87 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 163.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Islanders | 46c | 159.49$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.12 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Islanders | 62c | 147.25$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Islanders | 52c | 140.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 137.47$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Islanders | 66c | 127.67$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…6039backed Islanders | 46c | 127.59$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…3dbebacked Islanders | 46c | 126.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Islanders | 46c | 126.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Islanders | 51c | 116.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Islanders | 56c | 115.38$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 109.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b0…fdbcbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 106.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 103.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5578…f06cbacked Islanders | 52c | 102.74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…a38cbacked Islanders | 51c | 98.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Islanders | 46c | 96.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Islanders | 52c | 88.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Maple Leafs | 20c | 87.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 86.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Islanders | 61c | 84.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…e7a4backed Islanders | 46c | 84.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 81.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Islanders | 51c | 77.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…fd16backed Islanders | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Islanders | 50c | 72.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…400dbacked Islanders | 50c | 70.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed Islanders | 46c | 67.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Islanders | 74c | 66.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Islanders | 52c | 66.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 65.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 59.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)this page
- Maple Leafs vs. IslandersIslanders won
- Maple Leafs vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Islanders: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Islanders (-2.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.