CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero (BO3) - Dfrag Wildcard LAN Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1e32b862e5fdd210ed8671b71981951d56523a2c8e5c6895a4d7daf03b6fa66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- THUNDER dOWNUNDERof THUNDER dOWNUNDER, Ground Zero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,670 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe847…8da2backed Ground Zero | 40c | 2,545$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…8bddbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 60c | 2,545$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Ground Zero | 10c | 2,307$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.93 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Ground Zero | 15c | 981.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Ground Zero | 10c | 726.87$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4361…9408backed Ground Zero | 33c | 596.83$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.94 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Ground Zero | 12c | 475$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 43c | 467.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Ground Zero | 16c | 444.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ground Zero | 13c | 413.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 29c | 348$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.03 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 31c | 337.51$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.38 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 63c | 277.23$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.24 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Ground Zero | 13c | 203.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Ground Zero | 14c | 200.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Ground Zero | 13c | 191.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…1d66backed Ground Zero | 39c | 183.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Ground Zero | 39c | 183$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 28c | 171.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.78 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ground Zero | 32c | 170.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 61c | 166.83$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ground Zero | 14c | 166.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…b779backed Ground Zero | 12c | 148.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 60c | 137.52$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ground Zero | 10c | 137.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed Ground Zero | 22c | 137.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Ground Zero | 22c | 132.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Ground Zero | 12c | 122.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Ground Zero | 12c | 117.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 70c | 112$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Ground Zero | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Ground Zero | 22c | 97.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…cb13backed Ground Zero | 66c | 87.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Ground Zero | 20c | 84.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Ground Zero | 14c | 79.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 47c | 75.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ground Zero | 36c | 60.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Ground Zero | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 73c | 52.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…f3eabacked Ground Zero | 39c | 46.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Ground Zero | 43c | 36.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 66c | 31.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe0…192abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 73c | 27.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 67c | 19.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe10…cbc7backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 75c | 19.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero (BO3) - Dfrag Wildcard LAN Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero - Map 1 WinnerGround Zero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.