Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25cb3b525f1051b1bcdf8f1273d038c6b2ec7151ee8e4ccec5b9966d2d1cc6a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rafael Jodarof Rafael Jodar, Alex de Minaur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $562,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $620,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $562,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 413 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alex de Minaur | 29c | 28,934$8,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,390.76 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Alex de Minaur | 56c | 26,087$14,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,603.83 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Rafael Jodar | 47c | 25,331$11,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,395.69 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f75…af7ebacked Alex de Minaur | 56c | 21,916$12,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,198.69 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Rafael Jodar | 48c | 20,043$9,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,423.42 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Alex de Minaur | 49c | 18,704$9,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,237.37 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e26…e4d1backed Alex de Minaur | 3c | 17,257$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.27 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alex de Minaur | 32c | 16,081$5,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,117.18 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Rafael Jodar | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Rafael Jodar | 68c | 14,582$9,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,675.83 | 300 | 56.7%170 W · 130 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Rafael Jodar | 44c | 14,130$6,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,912.54 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Alex de Minaur | 2c | 13,397$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.87 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Alex de Minaur | 33c | 12,381$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.29 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Rafael Jodar | 69c | 12,346$8,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,798.61 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Rafael Jodar | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.99 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Alex de Minaur | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.98 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Alex de Minaur | 53c | 9,444$5,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,037.82 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Alex de Minaur | 53c | 9,430$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.88 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Rafael Jodar | 64c | 9,276$5,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.48 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Alex de Minaur | 51c | 8,743$4,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,458.8 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Rafael Jodar | 48c | 8,146$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,235.67 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Rafael Jodar | 45c | 8,012$3,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,380.47 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Rafael Jodar | 69c | 8,012$5,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.11 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Rafael Jodar | 70c | 7,745$5,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.15 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Alex de Minaur | 52c | 7,524$3,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,881.76 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Alex de Minaur | 38c | 6,910$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.37 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfac7…78ebbacked Rafael Jodar | 47c | 6,231$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326.93 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Alex de Minaur | 41c | 6,226$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.08 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Rafael Jodar | 48c | 5,661$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.8 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alex de Minaur | 29c | 5,645$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.87 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rafael Jodar | 62c | 5,292$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.68 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Alex de Minaur | 36c | 4,894$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.6 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Rafael Jodar | 49c | 4,847$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.97 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alex de Minaur | 27c | 4,470$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.35 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…7f37backed Rafael Jodar | 47c | 4,038$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.93 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Alex de Minaur | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alex de Minaur | 51c | 3,617$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.89 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Rafael Jodar | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.92 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Rafael Jodar | 44c | 3,498$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.92 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alex de Minaur | 42c | 3,467$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.11 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Alex de Minaur | 30c | 3,322$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.33 | 341 | 36.4%124 W · 217 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Rafael Jodar | 67c | 3,212$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.12 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Alex de Minaur | 17c | 3,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.08 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Alex de Minaur | 54c | 3,106$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.29 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Alex de Minaur | 52c | 3,100$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Alex de Minaur | 54c | 2,987$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.76 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Alex de Minaur | 13c | 2,984$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.91 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Alex de Minaur | 40c | 2,927$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.51 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Alex de Minaur | 54c | 2,917$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.29 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Rafael Jodar | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Alex de Minaur | 32c | 2,481$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.36 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Alex de Minaur | 9c | 2,473$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.59 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2d…0344backed Rafael Jodar | 46c | 2,105$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.74 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…b52cbacked Rafael Jodar | 46c | 2,080$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.38 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Rafael Jodar | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.8 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Alex de Minaur | 7c | 2,023$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.63 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Rafael Jodar | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Alex de Minaur | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Rafael Jodar | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Rafael Jodar | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.98 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rafael Jodar | 45c | 1,965$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.98 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Rafael Jodar | 54c | 1,960$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.44 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…78debacked Alex de Minaur | 2c | 1,929$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f64…6ddfbacked Alex de Minaur | 54c | 1,844$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.74 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Alex de Minaur | 50c | 1,783$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.47 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Rafael Jodar | 73c | 1,771$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.71 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Rafael Jodar | 59c | 1,546$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.7 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed Rafael Jodar | 65c | 1,507$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.85 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Rafael Jodar | 66c | 1,493$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.49 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6555…beecbacked Rafael Jodar | 44c | 1,488$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4a…2c56backed Rafael Jodar | 44c | 1,418$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Alex de Minaur | 48c | 1,402$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.23 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Rafael Jodar | 47c | 1,257$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Rafael Jodar | 44c | 1,252$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.23 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Alex de Minaur | 53c | 1,250$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.74 | 328 | 51.8%170 W · 158 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Alex de Minaur | 1c | 1,248$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Alex de Minaur | 16c | 1,227$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.12 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Rafael Jodar | 46c | 1,195$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.03 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbb…c0fdbacked Alex de Minaur | 45c | 1,155$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.27 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc829…cad3backed Rafael Jodar | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.05 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…2accbacked Rafael Jodar | 44c | 1,110$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc68…f899backed Rafael Jodar | 56c | 1,103$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.98 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Rafael Jodar | 47c | 1,029$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.47 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Alex de Minaur | 25c | 1,026$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.59 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Alex de Minaur | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Rafael Jodar | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Alex de Minaur | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Alex de Minaur | 53c | 961.2$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.38 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Alex de Minaur | 17c | 959.41$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.93 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Rafael Jodar | 74c | 945.98$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.03 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Alex de Minaur | 51c | 938.25$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.51 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…fa0bbacked Alex de Minaur | 15c | 926.5$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.41 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…273ebacked Alex de Minaur | 55c | 899.93$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.96 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62dd…0c1fbacked Rafael Jodar | 49c | 894.99$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Rafael Jodar | 45c | 890.48$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.75 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Alex de Minaur | 55c | 878.52$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.62 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Rafael Jodar | 69c | 876.05$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.28 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rafael Jodar | 46c | 837.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.52 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Alex de Minaur | 52c | 825.52$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.27 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Rafael Jodar | 48c | 799.99$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.99 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaurthis page
- Rafael Jodar vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs MinaurJodar won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)Jodar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.