NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18973191745b644a4e8d572de5bb2e2376b410ed372973050fad34c946121bc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,895,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,895,743 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,998 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic | 30c | 495,459$148,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347,366.78 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 71c | 143,926$101,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,510.19 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Timberwolves | 18c | 111,439$19,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,846.51 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Magic | 68c | 90,000$61,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,450 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 72,389$50,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,634.27 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b03…2c36backed Magic | 30c | 72,094$21,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,801.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 71,429$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 68,457$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.84 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Magic | 30c | 64,410$19,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,087.25 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 57,030$39,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,919.49 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Magic | 30c | 55,206$16,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,651.03 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 70c | 47,975$33,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,579.4 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Magic | 29c | 37,776$11,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,632.07 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…c927backed Timberwolves | 13c | 32,500$4,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,062.5 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Timberwolves | 2c | 30,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.68 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Timberwolves | 51c | 26,242$13,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,336.73 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Magic | 30c | 25,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,499.77 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Timberwolves | 70c | 24,446$17,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,112.18 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…c73bbacked Magic | 30c | 22,505$6,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,753.49 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Magic | 27c | 22,379$5,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,447.86 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1d…3846backed Magic | 31c | 22,001$6,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,181.13 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ceb…7dfbbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 22,000$15,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,179.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Timberwolves | 70c | 20,623$14,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,458.53 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Magic | 29c | 20,081$5,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,258.27 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Timberwolves | 70c | 20,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,999.74 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 19,515$13,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,508.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Timberwolves | 32c | 19,297$6,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,101.57 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Timberwolves | 1c | 17,963$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.88 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 70c | 17,786$12,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,390.02 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Timberwolves | 57c | 17,467$9,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,986.5 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Timberwolves | 70c | 17,088$11,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,961.94 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves | 69c | 15,989$11,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,032.17 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Timberwolves | 70c | 14,194$9,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,935.45 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38a…3293backed Timberwolves | 72c | 13,946$9,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,996 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magic | 30c | 13,387$4,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,371.34 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…3191backed Timberwolves | 70c | 12,696$8,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,887.06 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Magic | 30c | 11,700$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,190.16 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Magic | 72c | 11,344$8,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,163.97 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 45c | 11,196$5,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,067.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Magic | 30c | 11,167$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,816.67 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Timberwolves | 0c | 10,903$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Timberwolves | 71c | 10,527$7,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,440 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…802cbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 10,058$7,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,040.29 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Timberwolves | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.75 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Timberwolves | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Magic | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.99 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves | 70c | 9,900$6,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,930 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Magic | 68c | 9,725$6,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,138.96 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 35c | 9,105$3,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,887.9 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed Timberwolves | 70c | 8,911$6,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,237.62 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed Magic | 31c | 8,911$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,148.51 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Magic | 33c | 8,787$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,851.08 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 8,627$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.93 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves | 23c | 8,145$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.58 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves | 30c | 8,022$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.22 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Magic | 33c | 7,484$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,051.55 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Timberwolves | 0c | 7,378$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Magic | 29c | 7,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.99 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…5250backed Magic | 29c | 7,000$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,969.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 6,992$4,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,893.56 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Timberwolves | 17c | 6,930$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.03 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Timberwolves | 71c | 6,880$4,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,884.8 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 6,817$4,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,731.33 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Magic | 30c | 6,800$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,730.62 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 6,776$4,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,743.2 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…b043backed Timberwolves | 60c | 6,759$4,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,081.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Magic | 33c | 6,680$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480.17 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Timberwolves | 70c | 6,666$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.2 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Timberwolves | 8c | 6,574$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.08 | 341 | 36.1%123 W · 218 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Timberwolves | 69c | 6,500$4,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,516.15 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Timberwolves | 70c | 6,456$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…1905backed Timberwolves | 65c | 6,416$4,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,171 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Timberwolves | 79c | 6,340$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Timberwolves | 67c | 6,142$4,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,126.43 | 161 | 62.7%101 W · 60 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Magic | 33c | 6,048$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.47 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…cbe8backed Timberwolves | 42c | 5,753$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.56 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a31…5dd9backed Timberwolves | 69c | 5,748$3,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,966.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Magic | 30c | 5,730$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,011.53 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Magic | 35c | 5,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.91 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Magic | 24c | 5,619$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,266.64 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Magic | 31c | 5,601$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,864.91 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Timberwolves | 69c | 5,600$3,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,863.95 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4624…0a84backed Timberwolves | 70c | 5,594$3,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,915.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5488…1609backed Timberwolves | 70c | 5,508$3,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,855.42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Magic | 30c | 5,500$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Magic | 30c | 5,500$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,829.98 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…b886backed Timberwolves | 70c | 5,429$3,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Timberwolves | 21c | 5,322$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.62 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…0d24backed Magic | 28c | 5,159$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,693.41 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…390ebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 5,076$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.86 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Magic | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450.3 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Timberwolves | 69c | 5,000$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472.19 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Timberwolves | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.98 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Timberwolves | 71c | 4,930$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Timberwolves | 70c | 4,900$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430.19 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 4,864$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,411.05 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Magic | 30c | 4,486$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.19 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Magic | 78c | 4,102$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.41 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 30c | 4,100$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.8 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Magic won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 217.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 220.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.