NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x226974afcc566d20514eedef71c0a7bd35d74267db5c5bcf6ea27cd4abea4aa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,892 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 53c | 27,402$14,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,884.53 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Over | 48c | 16,797$8,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,001.38 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 47c | 9,545$4,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,492.37 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 5,704$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.64 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 50c | 5,591$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.63 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 56c | 4,737$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.91 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 49c | 3,948$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.82 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Over | 46c | 3,824$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.88 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 3,629$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.97 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 49c | 3,378$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.81 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 3,305$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.77 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…a2cabacked Over | 47c | 3,170$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 3,119$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.02 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Over | 50c | 2,950$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 54c | 2,399$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.62 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 46c | 2,367$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.96 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…5136backed Over | 48c | 1,916$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 1,790$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.3 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 1,661$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.66 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 21c | 1,604$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.96 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 41c | 1,569$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.87 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 48c | 1,543$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.79 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace8…4624backed Over | 49c | 1,535$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 52c | 1,529$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.03 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over | 50c | 1,515$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.42 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 1,441$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.77 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 1,254$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 1,062$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.02 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 1,023$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.62 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 1,022$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.21 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed Under | 65c | 910.57$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.17 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Under | 54c | 805.59$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.59 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 53c | 793$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.94 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4694…b6b2backed Over | 48c | 727.37$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Under | 73c | 682.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.07 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 50c | 675.74$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.08 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 63c | 568.62$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.36 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 49c | 514.88$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.78 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 54c | 509.26$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.26 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 64c | 454.88$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.89 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over | 47c | 442.58$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.01 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…987ebacked Over | 48c | 426.35$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.65 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -8.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 36c | 424.47$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.97 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 44c | 374.06$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.61 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 51c | 371.22$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.32 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…2edfbacked Over | 47c | 315.57$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df1…6b99backed Over | 48c | 275.15$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 54c | 198$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Over | 49c | 194.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 49c | 194.14$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.01 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 55c | 190.96$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.93 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fa…97a9backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 62%170 W · 104 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 51c | 179.25$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…0edfbacked Over | 56c | 141.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.36per pick | 54cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 44c | 127.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 33c | 117$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 116.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 61c | 115.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 109.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…022dbacked Over | 49c | 104.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 103.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…9368backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Over | 60c | 95.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0478backed Over | 49c | 91.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Over | 53c | 75.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over | 34c | 72.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 45c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 67c | 71.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 53c | 68.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db2…cc8cbacked Under | 46c | 64.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b21…05ecbacked Over | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…1a11backed Under | 44c | 58.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 46c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffd…9405backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 56c | 48.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 50c | 46.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Over | 54c | 46.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 28c | 46.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…5831backed Under | 50c | 43.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Under | 46c | 42.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…ce1abacked Under | 52c | 42.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…3faabacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…f88bbacked Over | 49c | 37.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 54c | 37.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c3…48e8backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Magic won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Magic vs. TimberwolvesMagic won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 217.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 220.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.