TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,892

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,892 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under53c27,402$14,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,884.531,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Over48c16,797$8,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,001.385945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Over47c9,545$4,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,492.3722143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c5,704$2,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,677.642,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Under50c5,591$2,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,803.6321250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under56c4,737$2,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.911,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over49c3,948$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.8270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Over46c3,824$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.8828643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under50c3,629$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.9769149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under49c3,378$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.811,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c3,305$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.774,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ff8…a2cabacked Over47c3,170$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.791346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c3,119$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.024,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Over50c2,950$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4759352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under54c2,399$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.622,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over46c2,367$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.9654539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c2,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd181…5136backed Over48c1,916$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c1,790$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.36,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c1,661$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.669,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over21c1,604$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.961,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over41c1,569$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.872,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over48c1,543$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.7922752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xace8…4624backed Over49c1,535$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.42133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under52c1,529$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.0358347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over50c1,515$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.4222643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c1,441$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.773,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c1,254$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.158,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over48c1,062$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.023,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under52c1,023$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.624,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c1,022$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.213,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed Under65c910.57$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.176872.1%49 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Under54c805.59$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.5919359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under53c793$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.941,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4694…b6b2backed Over48c727.37$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010647.2%50 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Under73c682.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.0727158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under50c675.74$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.0880653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under63c568.62$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.363,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over49c514.88$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7887453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under54c509.26$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.261,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under64c454.88$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.8945452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over47c442.58$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.017852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe9…987ebacked Over48c426.35$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.653622.2%8 W · 28 L-8.3wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-55.7%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over36c424.47$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.971,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over44c374.06$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.614,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under51c371.22$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.3224138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…2edfbacked Over47c315.57$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.32862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+43.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df1…6b99backed Over48c275.15$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1067921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under54c198$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.081,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Over49c194.98$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6420847.1%98 W · 110 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under49c194.14$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0140947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under55c190.96$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9316147.2%76 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99fa…97a9backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027462%170 W · 104 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under51c179.25$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8322055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Over54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8158754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Over49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.51855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe56a…0edfbacked Over56c141.75$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791118.2%2 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.36per pick54cpaid-70.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over44c127.27$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5691846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over33c117$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.142,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c116.28$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.142,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under61c115.96$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1590357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2176552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c109.92$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.065,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…022dbacked Over49c104.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.233053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c103.75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.15,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498353%44 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd18b…876dbacked Over60c95.58$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5711356.6%64 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over49c91.35$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.768850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1bb…6cc9backed Under48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.337454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Over53c75.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.720949.3%103 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over34c72.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9810637.7%40 W · 66 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over45c72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under67c71.48$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5933258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under53c68.18$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0464844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9db2…cc8cbacked Under46c64.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6917153.8%92 W · 79 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b21…05ecbacked Over48c63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.223033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.251,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda6e…1a11backed Under44c58.44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.73850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over46c58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.51,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ffd…9405backed Over48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2553839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.576653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6b4…e861backed Over56c48.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.947047.1%33 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under50c46.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1539943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Over54c46.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9928536.8%105 W · 180 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over28c46.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.731,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6982…5831backed Under50c43.72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.862955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Under46c42.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.891,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead8…ce1abacked Under52c42.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.336141%25 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6865872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x448a…3faabacked Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.744245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7045…f88bbacked Over49c37.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.412259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Under54c37.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2836350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59c3…48e8backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205964.4%38 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.