NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03384dce2379ea2945840ec9d93f47a78f0b4ad3acf259805c421b35be784d59

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Magicof Timberwolves, Magic
Resolved: Mar 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $413,126

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $413,126 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic	49c	116,317$56,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59,321.45	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Timberwolves	51c	115,442$58,876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58,875.66	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Magic	49c	100,506$49,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51,258.28	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves	3c	100,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Timberwolves	51c	38,225$19,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,494.88	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves	51c	26,289$13,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,347.08	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Timberwolves	51c	20,000$10,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,199.89	212	50.5%107 W · 105 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb4…832bbacked Magic	50c	19,667$9,748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,918.74	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.8wins	+0.35per pick	52cpaid	+69.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Magic	49c	16,863$8,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,598.88	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Timberwolves	51c	12,491$6,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,344.31	134	42.5%57 W · 77 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Magic	50c	11,569$5,782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,787.2	153	49%75 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves	50c	11,170$5,582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,582.05	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Timberwolves	51c	11,158$5,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,690.1	78	50%39 W · 39 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves	50c	10,741$5,423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,423.01	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed Timberwolves	51c	10,681$5,448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,447.54	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-4.6wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Magic	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,200	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Timberwolves	51c	9,804$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf75…d56abacked Timberwolves	52c	7,496$3,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,898	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Timberwolves	51c	7,000$3,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,569.96	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves	52c	6,000$3,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,119.99	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd97…feecbacked Magic	49c	5,514$2,702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,812.29	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+16%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Magic	49c	5,164$2,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,633.67	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves	51c	5,133$2,604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,604.17	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Magic	51c	4,700$2,396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,304.22	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Magic	48c	4,298$2,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,234.84	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa368…d116backed Timberwolves	52c	4,281$2,226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,226.2	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves	51c	4,065$2,073 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,073.2	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Magic	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,040	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Magic	51c	3,922$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,921.57	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Timberwolves	51c	3,496$1,783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,782.84	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves	51c	3,412$1,727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,726.55	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Magic	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,530	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Timberwolves	52c	2,900$1,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,508	170	52.4%89 W · 81 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Timberwolves	52c	2,500$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-5.1wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Timberwolves	51c	2,500$1,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,275	227	52%118 W · 109 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Magic	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.82	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Timberwolves	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	151	41.1%62 W · 89 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Magic	49c	1,800$880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$919.99	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Timberwolves	52c	1,800$936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$936	143	58.7%84 W · 59 L	+12.9wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Magic	49c	1,772$868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$903.86	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Timberwolves	52c	1,700$884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$883.8	102	51%52 W · 50 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Magic	48c	1,683$808 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$874.92	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Magic	49c	1,443$706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$737.35	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked Magic	51c	1,142$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.48	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves	50c	1,041$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.71	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Magic	50c	1,008$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$508.16	80	43.8%35 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Magic	50c	1,000$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Magic	50c	999.97$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.98	528	44.7%236 W · 292 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfaec…968cbacked Timberwolves	52c	992.77$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves	51c	869.45$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.98	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Timberwolves	51c	790.34$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	315	51.7%163 W · 152 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Magic	49c	732.77$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.71	229	48.5%111 W · 118 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Timberwolves	53c	660.38$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Magic	49c	650$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.5	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Magic	51c	642$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.58	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves	49c	541.18$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.56	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Timberwolves	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Timberwolves	49c	490$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.1	241	38.6%93 W · 148 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Magic	50c	418.33$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.29	576	50%288 W · 288 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Timberwolves	3c	385$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	379	49.3%187 W · 192 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Magic	49c	367.57$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.46	558	46.8%261 W · 297 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Magic	49c	361.36$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.29	648	44.8%290 W · 358 L	-32.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Timberwolves	48c	352.24$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.99	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Magic	50c	336.74$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.34	249	46.6%116 W · 133 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Magic	48c	330$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.6	287	51.9%149 W · 138 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Magic	49c	306.12$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.12	266	40.2%107 W · 159 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Timberwolves	52c	264.04$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.26	153	57.5%88 W · 65 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Magic	48c	260.99$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.72	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Magic	49c	246.94$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.94	119	43.7%52 W · 67 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Magic	49c	229.74$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.26	343	42.9%147 W · 196 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Magic	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	293	45.7%134 W · 159 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Magic	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	378	52.9%200 W · 178 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9069…9c14backed Timberwolves	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	145	57.2%83 W · 62 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Magic	49c	203.46$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.06	140	46.4%65 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Timberwolves	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	786	52.4%412 W · 374 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Magic	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	138	57.2%79 W · 59 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeba1…44dfbacked Magic	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-20%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Magic	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	514	51.9%267 W · 247 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Timberwolves	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	280	46.8%131 W · 149 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908e…2291backed Timberwolves	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.25per pick	48cpaid	+52.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5dc…dec3backed Timberwolves	53c	190.4$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.91	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Timberwolves	53c	176.38$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.42	218	54.6%119 W · 99 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Magic	48c	175.97$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.5	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e36…1920backed Timberwolves	52c	165.23$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f44…829ebacked Magic	51c	154$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.51	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves	50c	143.79$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.39	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Magic	50c	134.34$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.54	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Magic	49c	122.45$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.45	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Timberwolves	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	357	39.8%142 W · 215 L	-25.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xecbb…a8c2backed Timberwolves	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.9	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Timberwolves	52c	99$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.48	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves	51c	98.03$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Timberwolves	52c	90$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.8	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Magic	49c	89.94$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.64	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x919c…06d8backed Timberwolves	52c	87$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.97	198	52%103 W · 95 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb595…7af9backed Magic	49c	83.47$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.57	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Timberwolves	52c	77.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	257	53.7%138 W · 119 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Timberwolves	50c	72.03$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	659	50.8%335 W · 324 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Timberwolves	51c	71.25$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.57	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-9.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Timberwolves	52c	69.36$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	548	54.2%297 W · 251 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)this page
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Magic won
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 11.5No won
Desmond Bane: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5No won
Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5No won
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Magic vs. TimberwolvesMagic won
Magic vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineMagic won
Magic vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 217.5Under won
Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5Under won
Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 220.5Under won
Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5Under won
Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
Naz Reid: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
Spread: Magic (-8.5)Magic won
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Magic won
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Magic won
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Magic won
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Magic won
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Magic won
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event