NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2153c91268faf6d528dd1f22168ccaced3163d023dbb779a0a35c840560084f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Timberwolves, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,565 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic | 45c | 54,644$24,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,054.24 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Timberwolves | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Timberwolves | 55c | 9,741$5,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,357.72 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 56c | 5,902$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,301.54 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 55c | 5,468$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.72 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 5,408$2,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 44c | 5,237$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,932.89 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Timberwolves | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,513$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.81 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic | 45c | 1,209$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.93 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Magic | 45c | 1,110$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.49 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic | 47c | 1,077$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.17 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 870.76$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.92 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 46c | 845$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.04 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves | 5c | 834.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Magic | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 699.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Timberwolves | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a0…ff20backed Timberwolves | 54c | 631.71$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Magic | 45c | 629.99$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Timberwolves | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 551$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.07 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Magic | 60c | 510.11$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.04 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Timberwolves | 55c | 503$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.65 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Timberwolves | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Timberwolves | 55c | 484$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.2 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Timberwolves | 54c | 407.4$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Magic | 45c | 399.97$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.98 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Timberwolves | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Magic | 45c | 319.56$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.76 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Magic | 47c | 305.05$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.68 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Magic | 59c | 273$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Magic | 46c | 267.26$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.32 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Magic | 46c | 267.13$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.25 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Timberwolves | 57c | 263.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…fc02backed Timberwolves | 55c | 232.45$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Timberwolves | 55c | 218$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…dc8cbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Timberwolves | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Magic | 57c | 164.11$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Magic | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Magic | 41c | 120.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.83 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Magic | 45c | 111.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Magic | 43c | 101$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Timberwolves | 55c | 91.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Timberwolves | 56c | 89.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Timberwolves | 41c | 88.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Magic | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Magic | 45c | 79.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…b810backed Timberwolves | 57c | 71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…ea8ebacked Magic | 44c | 71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Timberwolves | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Magic | 45c | 61.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Timberwolves | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Timberwolves | 54c | 57.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Magic | 44c | 57.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…0075backed Timberwolves | 35c | 56.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 45c | 56.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Timberwolves | 54c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 230 | 51.3%118 W · 112 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 52.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Timberwolves | 55c | 46.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 46.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Magic | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 232 | 49.6%115 W · 117 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Timberwolves | 55c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db2…cc8cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 39.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Timberwolves | 55c | 36.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Timberwolves | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Timberwolves | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Magic | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 270 | 50%135 W · 135 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Timberwolves | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Magic | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Timberwolves | 56c | 25.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Magic | 53c | 25.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 49c | 23.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4102…d397backed Timberwolves | 56c | 21.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Timberwolves | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 148 | 58.1%86 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11b…3fe3backed Timberwolves | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Timberwolves | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a6…541ebacked Timberwolves | 56c | 19.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Magic won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Magic vs. TimberwolvesMagic won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 217.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 220.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.