TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe544…3cfc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
368
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Commodities, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 60 out of 100; worst World Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10251%52 W · 50 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$233.09
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$97
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$291.47
Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$257.08
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$191.1
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$478.92
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Suns (-11.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$153
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$162.5
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.25
Spread: Hawks (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$240.75
Spread: Raptors (-13.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$446.43
Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$249.74
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$489.99
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$281.25
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$461.44
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$184.62
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$166.26
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$153
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$163.64
Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT7650%38 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.69
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$172
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$196.41
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$254.74
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$230
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$150
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$305
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$440
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+115.8%+$483
Cardinals vs. Marinersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$280.44
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Phillies vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+100%+$300
Orioles vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Guardians vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Spread: Red Sox (-1.5)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+151.5%+$138.56
Diamondbacks vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$269.87
Marlins vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$335.2
Giants vs. Athleticsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$461.58
Twins vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$270
Rangers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$306
Guardians vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.83
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST5550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,519Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,459.87
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$516.27
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$550
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$743Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$743.01
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$885.37
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+106.7%+$662.55
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+104.1%+$208.16
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+104.1%+$156.12
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+96.1%+$192.16
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+99%+$396.08
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$216.67
Spread: Rams (-11.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$321.15
Colts vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$366.67
Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$276.92
Spread: Ravens (-4.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$301.75
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+102.5%+$512.33
Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+104.1%+$312.24
Saints vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$370.16
Spread: Jaguars (-4.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$416
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+122.2%+$550
Spread: Packers (-2.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 39.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+117.4%+$308.2
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT3240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.09
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.49
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$204.71
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$89.46
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$392.98
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$196.43
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$228
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+170.3%+$340.54
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$191.8
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+127.3%+$382.31
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$914Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$914
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+112.8%+$338.3
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+96.1%+$192.16
Will West Ham win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brighton win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$276
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$745.08
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$294
Spread: Indiana (-4.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+112.8%+$158.86
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+107.7%+$590.3
Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+100%+$300
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Oregon (-21.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Oklahoma (-1.5)backed Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$191.97
Spread: Navy (-6.5)backed Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+63.9%+$127.87
South Carolina vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+53.8%+$70
Spread: Texas A&M (-6.5)backed Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$184
Spread: Alabama (-9.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$45.84
LSU vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+33.3%+$100
Spread: Washington (-10.5)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$242.42
Spread: Texas (-5.5)backed Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$303.7
Spread: Penn State (-3.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+101.5%+$403
Illinois vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$197
Iowa vs. Iowa Statebacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$247.16
TCU vs. North Carolinabacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$219.67
Virginia Tech vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$145
Will Texas A&M beat LSU?backed Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+104.1%+$76.49
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.03
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$205
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$285.48
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.95
Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)backed BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.28
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.9
Arkansas vs. Texas Techbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$156
BYU vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$289.82
New Mexico vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$96.24
St. Mary's vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$214.29
UConn vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+100%+$200
UCLA vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$160
Gonzaga vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+46.1%+$529.35
Xavier vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$269.23
New Mexico vs. Marquettebacked Marquette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.73
North Carolina vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$157.89
Baylor vs. Mississippi Statebacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$379.5
UC San Diego vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$75.57
All 20 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick51cpaid+72.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+61.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+63.9%+$47.7
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+34.2%+$51
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$99.5
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+150%+$300
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+300%+$449.8
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,611Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+115.5%+$1,861.44
Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$101.5
Will a Republican win Texas US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+25.1%+$117.8
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$196
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$184.8
Royal Challengers Bangalore vs. Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.1
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$77
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$244.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+51.9%+$111.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mystics vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$188.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.