MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaa74b48944017db8d48b457e78c564caa90f32342b7da146e8096a6869175cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Boston Red Sox, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x116c…e162backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 13,992$6,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,405.21 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 12,297$5,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,287.54 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Houston Astros | 59c | 10,736$6,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,445.33 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Astros | 68c | 8,153$5,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.93 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 23c | 7,386$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.81 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Houston Astros | 61c | 6,742$4,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.28 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 73c | 5,789$4,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.9 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Boston Red Sox | 18c | 4,928$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.32 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 4,513$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.89 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 3,236$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.83 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Boston Red Sox | 25c | 3,094$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.2 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 3,026$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.87 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 73c | 2,660$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.97 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Houston Astros | 56c | 2,275$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.5 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 2,011$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.19 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Houston Astros | 57c | 1,877$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.47 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.98 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Houston Astros | 58c | 1,429$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Houston Astros | 56c | 1,427$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.07 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Houston Astros | 74c | 1,224$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.35 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Boston Red Sox | 29c | 1,162$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.5 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 1,148$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.55 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Houston Astros | 57c | 966.93$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.78 | 242 | 50%121 W · 121 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Houston Astros | 59c | 831.31$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.71 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 826.21$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.27 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Boston Red Sox | 27c | 811.43$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.11 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Boston Red Sox | 10c | 698.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Boston Red Sox | 19c | 692.77$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.31 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Boston Red Sox | 26c | 668.01$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.08 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Houston Astros | 79c | 648.11$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.93 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 69c | 642.73$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.73 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…cddebacked Boston Red Sox | 23c | 610.85$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.54 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Houston Astros | 57c | 586.24$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.09 | 849 | 49.1%417 W · 432 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 561.51$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.45 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Boston Red Sox | 26c | 559.4$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.49 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 56c | 548.71$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.77 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Boston Red Sox | 26c | 543.74$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.53 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Boston Red Sox | 23c | 506.53$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.06 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Houston Astros | 57c | 499.01$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.57 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Houston Astros | 58c | 487.4$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.71 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Boston Red Sox | 30c | 474.53$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.94 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 468.06$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.58 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a2…3711backed Houston Astros | 69c | 463.8$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.1 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Houston Astros | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 57c | 424.76$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.65 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Boston Red Sox | 27c | 400.64$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Houston Astros | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Boston Red Sox | 24c | 380.88$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Houston Astros | 73c | 379.16$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.36 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Boston Red Sox | 30c | 369.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.84 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Houston Astros | 58c | 342.15$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.71 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Houston Astros | 59c | 330.74$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Boston Red Sox | 15c | 289.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Houston Astros | 52c | 280$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.7 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Boston Red Sox | 19c | 266.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Houston Astros | 57c | 263.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Boston Red Sox | 30c | 259.56$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd05…61d6backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 252.53$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 77c | 234.94$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 226.85$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Boston Red Sox | 11c | 225.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Boston Red Sox | 36c | 223.77$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Boston Red Sox | 33c | 221.73$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.22 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Houston Astros | 57c | 217.75$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.63 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Houston Astros | 58c | 215.43$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Boston Red Sox | 21c | 212.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 199.96$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 193.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…a9fbbacked Houston Astros | 59c | 180.6$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 176.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Houston Astros | 57c | 173.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.76 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Houston Astros | 67c | 173.57$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Houston Astros | 58c | 167.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Boston Red Sox | 28c | 166.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Houston Astros | 58c | 163.03$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Houston Astros | 70c | 162.3$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…026ebacked Boston Red Sox | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Boston Red Sox | 24c | 153.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Houston Astros | 70c | 146.32$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Houston Astros | 58c | 134.8$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Boston Red Sox | 31c | 125.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Houston Astros | 58c | 118.93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Boston Red Sox | 31c | 118.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Houston Astros | 77c | 107.55$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Houston Astros | 56c | 106.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Houston Astros | 66c | 105.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 104.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 754 | 53.2%401 W · 353 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Houston Astros | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe509…7387backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 99.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Houston Astros | 57c | 98.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 136 | 64.7%88 W · 48 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Houston Astros | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 551 | 46.8%258 W · 293 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…c2adbacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 94.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 592 | 43.2%256 W · 336 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…4fd0backed Houston Astros | 57c | 94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Houston Astros | 57c | 93.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Houston Astros | 57c | 88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaf…3996backed Houston Astros | 58c | 87.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- NRFI: Boston Red Sox vs. Houston AstrosNo won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Houston Astros won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.