MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87bf623313e9b3d8f5dca836159c5f2c5c7378aeb58f1dd93a95f2b7d2bf2aa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 61c | 31,711$19,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,477.39 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Giants | 49c | 26,374$12,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,910.21 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Giants | 57c | 24,558$13,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,997.79 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Guardians | 43c | 18,500$7,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,545 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 40c | 13,471$5,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,390.84 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Guardians | 50c | 10,598$5,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,301.21 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Giants | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 50c | 9,539$4,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,728.17 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Giants | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 57c | 7,572$4,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.84 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Giants | 55c | 5,499$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.51 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Giants | 26c | 5,153$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.29 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 42c | 4,529$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.38 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Guardians | 41c | 3,933$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.29 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Guardians | 42c | 3,924$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.73 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Guardians | 42c | 3,861$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.77 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Guardians | 69c | 3,614$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.98 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants | 25c | 3,605$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Giants | 56c | 3,589$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Guardians | 42c | 3,333$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.14 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Guardians | 40c | 3,252$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.05 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Guardians | 41c | 2,413$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.33 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Giants | 43c | 2,317$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.04 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Guardians | 42c | 2,037$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.17 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Guardians | 43c | 1,900$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.62 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Giants | 43c | 1,845$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.13 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Giants | 57c | 1,600$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Giants | 58c | 1,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.73 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Giants | 59c | 1,486$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.82 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Guardians | 59c | 1,338$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.69 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Giants | 58c | 1,271$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.18 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Giants | 58c | 1,184$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.26 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Guardians | 39c | 1,137$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.46 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Guardians | 74c | 1,048$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.62 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Giants | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 41c | 999.81$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.89 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Guardians | 49c | 933.66$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.83 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Giants | 59c | 931.64$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.67 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Giants | 58c | 867.17$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.56 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Giants | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 44c | 851.19$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.66 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Guardians | 50c | 828$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.69 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Giants | 38c | 721.44$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.15 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Giants | 29c | 689.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…7f02backed Guardians | 43c | 630$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Giants | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 42c | 544.54$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.83 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Giants | 42c | 477.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Giants | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 40c | 455.58$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.94 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Giants | 33c | 455.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…0bbcbacked Guardians | 42c | 450$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Giants | 62c | 395.15$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Giants | 58c | 344.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.83 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Giants | 48c | 340.83$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Giants | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Giants | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed Giants | 58c | 336.55$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Giants | 58c | 299.95$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.97 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…4cd8backed Giants | 59c | 269.98$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.43 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Guardians | 54c | 264.28$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Guardians | 47c | 260$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Guardians | 40c | 249.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.97 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ac…c395backed Giants | 16c | 247.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…e790backed Giants | 49c | 246.36$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Giants | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Giants | 52c | 235.58$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Giants | 45c | 217.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…3c99backed Guardians | 42c | 206.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Guardians | 41c | 205.49$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.24 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…f648backed Giants | 68c | 203.31$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.25 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Giants | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Guardians | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Giants | 60c | 199.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…9f03backed Giants | 45c | 182.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Giants | 52c | 175.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.33 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5001…49c3backed Giants | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…43e2backed Giants | 25c | 167.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…e6a5backed Guardians | 42c | 163.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5d54backed Giants | 59c | 151.64$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Giants | 35c | 145.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Guardians | 42c | 138.76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.48 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Giants | 53c | 137.7$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Guardians | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Giants | 47c | 132.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Giants | 58c | 126.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.41 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…a458backed Giants | 52c | 121.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Guardians | 41c | 118.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Guardians | 43c | 116.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…932dbacked Guardians | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf14d…4c11backed Giants | 60c | 115.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…ad95backed Giants | 15c | 113.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8c…ef09backed Giants | 58c | 109.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Giants | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Giants | 43c | 105.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c0…32f4backed Giants | 58c | 105.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7400…c5ccbacked Guardians | 69c | 102$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Guardians | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.