TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7400…c5cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst WNBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST8751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24.16
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+300%+$38.25
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.71
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29.58
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.88
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$51
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$44.88
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.36
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.25
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+233.3%+$35.7
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.75
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.95
Suns vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+53.8%+$26.95
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.95
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16.83
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$23.97
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$70.38
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+98%+$50.49
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$27.54
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$14.5
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$26.01
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+58.7%+$18.87
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+112.8%+$27.03
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.6
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$28.06
Red Sox vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$15.86
Royals vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.15
Guardians vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$28.67
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.98
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$15.24
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Pirates vs. Tigersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.76
Angels vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.38
Guardians vs. Giantsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$31.62
White Sox vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$32.12
Mets vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$90
Orioles vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.64
Giants vs. Marlinsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Pirates vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.94
All 16 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bilbao Basket vs. Valenciabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.