MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47c1f031d8480c47a4a6dc439fbdf4e065e8d6b09a5d603eb8cb479063eb99d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Pirates, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Pirates | 24c | 12,956$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.72 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Tigers | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pirates | 17c | 8,037$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Pirates | 18c | 7,467$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.06 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Pirates | 1c | 5,556$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Tigers | 77c | 3,682$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Tigers | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…1b36backed Tigers | 76c | 1,980$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Pirates | 24c | 1,924$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.75 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Pirates | 43c | 1,913$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.59 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tigers | 57c | 1,819$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.17 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers | 74c | 1,758$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.14 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Pirates | 1c | 1,757$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 75c | 1,680$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.55 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Pirates | 26c | 1,524$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Pirates | 26c | 1,222$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.72 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d61…8c6ebacked Pirates | 26c | 1,148$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Pirates | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Pirates | 9c | 916.9$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.21 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f12…1bcdbacked Pirates | 27c | 888.15$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pirates | 26c | 769.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.12 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Pirates | 27c | 757.47$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.64 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates | 5c | 730.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Pirates | 26c | 632.42$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.74 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Tigers | 74c | 599.99$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Pirates | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pirates | 6c | 488.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7400…c5ccbacked Pirates | 26c | 426$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Pirates | 24c | 399.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 25c | 399.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Pirates | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Tigers | 75c | 294.67$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Tigers | 70c | 216$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tigers | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Tigers | 71c | 195$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 15c | 194$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Pirates | 18c | 192.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Tigers | 76c | 171.9$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pirates | 24c | 155.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Pirates | 26c | 155.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pirates | 26c | 151$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 27c | 107.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…7a72backed Tigers | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d5…37e6backed Pirates | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates | 25c | 99.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Pirates | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Pirates | 24c | 77.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Pirates | 26c | 72.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Pirates | 24c | 65.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0162…6033backed Pirates | 26c | 65.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d2…c25dbacked Tigers | 75c | 65.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Pirates | 19c | 57.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc811…a5b9backed Pirates | 24c | 50.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Pirates | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1292…cd40backed Pirates | 27c | 38.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Tigers | 75c | 32.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x327b…ffb5backed Tigers | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7e…d8a2backed Tigers | 76c | 23.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…7a0bbacked Tigers | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…f648backed Tigers | 75c | 18.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…6235backed Tigers | 76c | 16.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5896…7c96backed Tigers | 75c | 15.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…f046backed Tigers | 74c | 14.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.