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MLB · resolved market

Rangers vs. Blue Jays

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jaysof Rangers, Blue Jays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$799,114
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,042,571

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $799,114 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 700 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe785…e106backed Rangers50c224,597$112,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,291.674854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Blue Jays50c200,098$100,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,049.1817753.1%94 W · 83 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays44c77,186$33,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,218.651,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Blue Jays51c30,082$15,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,646.5428646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x991a…2411backed Blue Jays44c28,022$12,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,562.424459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Rangers60c21,409$12,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,754.4254345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers49c20,568$10,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,073.441,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Rangers62c17,210$10,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,732.5535854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Rangers51c15,277$7,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,791.0360249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rangers50c15,182$7,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,602.4256451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers46c14,579$6,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,759.551,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Rangers53c11,103$5,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,89441747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers58c10,041$5,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,778.692,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Rangers49c7,905$3,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,852.334245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Blue Jays50c7,711$3,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,868.9525453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Blue Jays50c6,613$3,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,306.3333554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays49c5,555$2,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,833.0499149.9%495 W · 496 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Blue Jays50c5,098$2,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.1539041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc607…4e9abacked Blue Jays52c4,658$2,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x930d…1dd8backed Rangers49c4,410$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160.892347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb307…5c7dbacked Blue Jays51c4,193$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.571850%9 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Blue Jays50c4,015$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,014.919649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Rangers51c3,803$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.526949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Rangers34c3,670$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.9511553%61 W · 54 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays49c3,471$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.062,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Rangers64c3,363$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,146.6643946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Rangers60c3,278$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.7733845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Rangers61c3,072$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.1538444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ada…c516backed Rangers50c2,120$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf143…f5d9backed Rangers50c2,040$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rangers49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9371751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Rangers51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Rangers51c1,765$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf29b…ec44backed Blue Jays51c1,667$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.83977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick48cpaid+70.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rangers48c1,483$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.86,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f0b…2305backed Rangers48c1,458$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7058042.5%34 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab7…d6eebacked Rangers49c1,433$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.17650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcab0…4cd3backed Blue Jays50c1,406$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.469447.9%45 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Blue Jays38c1,350$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83934051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d0…2cc2backed Rangers50c1,280$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-63%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers57c1,227$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.819,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x876b…9e57backed Blue Jays50c1,206$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4b3…8e12backed Blue Jays50c1,194$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2cd…d0b5backed Rangers50c1,120$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56070%0 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Rangers50c1,107$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.3728258.5%165 W · 117 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fff…d4b2backed Blue Jays50c1,080$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…b134backed Blue Jays50c1,040$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+60.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6f4…377cbacked Blue Jays50c1,030$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Blue Jays49c1,021$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.717448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x372f…3b19backed Rangers49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9c…d685backed Blue Jays50c1,010$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jays49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51095950.1%480 W · 479 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63db…4401backed Blue Jays50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Rangers50c953.13$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.391,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Blue Jays52c903.85$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.8570946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd019…0003backed Rangers50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jays34c884.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.595930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Blue Jays49c833$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.8318748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffc2…8b69backed Blue Jays50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Blue Jays50c792.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.3166645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6f4…98dabacked Blue Jays51c786$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.14850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Blue Jays51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3188549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3061…dd00backed Rangers52c781.16$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.431637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Blue Jays22c746.43$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.4222312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x251b…143cbacked Blue Jays44c732.52$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.8221753.9%117 W · 100 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Rangers64c721.51$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.6160052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jays50c691$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.51,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Rangers56c677.49$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.2632754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Blue Jays50c616.74$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.141,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29442452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rangers59c525.07$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.0976456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4950…0031backed Rangers51c500$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.335644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Blue Jays50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25016651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Blue Jays49c499.98$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.9930850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Rangers59c495.99$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.4980680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Rangers50c492.6$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.37343.8%32 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Rangers50c480$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2409947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Blue Jays22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.555834.5%20 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rangers48c445.74$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.9573352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Blue Jays51c434$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.0818837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Blue Jays50c423.36$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.6811331.9%36 W · 77 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20022546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Rangers72c399.54$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.726650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Rangers51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Rangers25c390.44$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9645732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Rangers59c389.83$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23011748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Rangers65c383.21$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.5373149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f77…fdb8backed Blue Jays15c377.93$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.462516%4 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Rangers48c364$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7226056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Blue Jays51c345.1$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.128053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Rangers48c279.51$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.167833.3%26 W · 52 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Rangers49c275.78$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5531547.3%149 W · 166 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe299…9945backed Rangers75c267.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54fa…ec55backed Blue Jays50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62f…f330backed Blue Jays51c255.63$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0214649.3%72 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…e6c4backed Rangers51c254.9$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95de…42d5backed Rangers79c251.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006960.9%42 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Rangers49c234.92$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4680955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.