WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d77c0399700d035ffe5a734cfbde41e7b9726c1256996d04c032290fd6af19b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof Phoenix Mercury, Golden State Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Phoenix Mercury | 2c | 26,079$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Phoenix Mercury | 15c | 24,645$3,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,770.07 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 79c | 13,391$10,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870.38 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 11,289$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.18 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 9c | 10,756$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.63 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries | 74c | 10,593$7,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.05 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 9,416$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.08 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Phoenix Mercury | 11c | 8,908$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.9 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Phoenix Mercury | 7c | 8,007$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.15 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Golden State Valkyries | 74c | 7,598$5,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.41 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…7296backed Phoenix Mercury | 7c | 4,422$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.54 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Phoenix Mercury | 13c | 3,783$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.12 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 3,685$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.77 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Phoenix Mercury | 9c | 3,334$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Phoenix Mercury | 18c | 2,825$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 2,633$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.81 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…1bd5backed Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 2,489$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 2,136$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.98 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Phoenix Mercury | 19c | 1,983$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.34 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Phoenix Mercury | 4c | 1,904$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.07 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 1,885$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Phoenix Mercury | 15c | 1,800$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.43 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd231…633cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 74c | 1,780$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 1,694$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.93 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Golden State Valkyries | 73c | 1,657$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.06 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Golden State Valkyries | 72c | 1,621$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.03 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15dd…11dbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 1,397$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.94 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…c5dcbacked Phoenix Mercury | 8c | 1,280$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 1,273$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.13 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Phoenix Mercury | 8c | 1,253$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 80c | 1,241$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.97 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Golden State Valkyries | 80c | 1,226$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.2 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 1,206$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.56 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 1,157$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.32 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 10c | 1,150$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 1,027$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.52 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Golden State Valkyries | 68c | 989.68$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.94 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 79c | 947.71$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.71 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 943.43$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.27 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d8…f8fabacked Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 853.19$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Golden State Valkyries | 79c | 832.64$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.65 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4f…f2a1backed Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 74c | 720$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 671.56$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.78 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Phoenix Mercury | 12c | 587.39$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.58 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 577.26$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.27 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 4c | 552$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 526$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.76 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 4c | 500.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…169bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 77c | 500$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 64c | 498.28$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.9 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Phoenix Mercury | 7c | 470.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 466.67$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Phoenix Mercury | 14c | 459$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc55b…c88bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 6c | 417$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phoenix Mercury | 20c | 395$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1a…d74ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…daf5backed Phoenix Mercury | 16c | 383.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…17a9backed Golden State Valkyries | 80c | 375.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 372.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.15 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 16c | 324.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 8c | 322.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 5c | 320$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Phoenix Mercury | 15c | 310.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1495…d3f9backed Phoenix Mercury | 7c | 288.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…e474backed Golden State Valkyries | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 74c | 259$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e52…cbb9backed Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 257.46$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Golden State Valkyries | 67c | 254.98$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 78c | 248.89$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Golden State Valkyries | 76c | 242.5$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 79c | 237.8$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 37c | 230$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Phoenix Mercury | 11c | 228.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 224.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Phoenix Mercury | 13c | 217.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac1…d5a6backed Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Phoenix Mercury | 10c | 191.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c58…79f7backed Golden State Valkyries | 79c | 180.02$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 76c | 171.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…0f8cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 161.51$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 159.04$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6d…65acbacked Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 153.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Golden State Valkyries | 79c | 152.56$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f43…3ec1backed Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 149$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c4…989abacked Golden State Valkyries | 73c | 147.49$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Phoenix Mercury | 11c | 144.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Phoenix Mercury | 15c | 141$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Phoenix Mercury | 9c | 137$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 134.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7400…c5ccbacked Phoenix Mercury | 9c | 121.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…44b1backed Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Phoenix Mercury | 36c | 115$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 108$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…c36ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 15c | 101.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 14c | 100.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyriesthis page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5Over won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5Over won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.