WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x535c4bef1d43633e0e6829d9e890276e5bd029474cabc0251480f9fec4a294a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phoenix Mercuryof Golden State Valkyries, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 30,735$14,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,752.89 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 30,398$15,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,603.19 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 2,853$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.28 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 2,674$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.29 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 2,656$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 2,377$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.89 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 2,264$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.17 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…e6f8backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 1,304$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.71 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.98 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 1,163$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 1,139$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.72 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 944$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 869.25$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.24 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 826.56$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.24 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 569.35$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.29 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +11.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Phoenix Mercury | 16c | 556.19$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.32 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 549.14$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.52 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0d…03c0backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 531.76$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 481.35$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.35 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 68c | 443.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 234 | 67.5%158 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 427$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.08 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 382.32$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.51 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 375.46$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.22 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Golden State Valkyries | 58c | 294.22$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 287.94$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.76 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Phoenix Mercury | 80c | 244.27$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Golden State Valkyries | 7c | 244.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 235.86$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.57 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…1cb8backed Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 182.02$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.37 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Golden State Valkyries | 43c | 173.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Golden State Valkyries | 39c | 166$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 214 | 47.7%102 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 31c | 162.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.45 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 157.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 154.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 148.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 144.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 136.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 125.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…deacbacked Phoenix Mercury | 68c | 98.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…e7a4backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Golden State Valkyries | 43c | 83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 81.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 63.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 60.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 57.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdb…02c3backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 55.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 53.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Golden State Valkyries | 43c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 48.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 43.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 40.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e138backed Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 35.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 34.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 42c | 33.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -26.1wins | -0.41per pick | 42cpaid | -97.6%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x0783…00d3backed Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 31.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -15%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f6…60a4backed Phoenix Mercury | 59c | 30.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…d17abacked Phoenix Mercury | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69a2…3beebacked Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 25.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 24.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 23.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…e566backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 22.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)this page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5Over won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5Over won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.