TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Phoenix Mercuryof Golden State Valkyries, Phoenix Mercury
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,783

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,705 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Golden State Valkyries52c42,788$22,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,2503745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Golden State Valkyries52c25,262$13,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,136.434540%18 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Phoenix Mercury48c25,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,999.9913950.4%70 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Golden State Valkyries50c15,014$7,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,506.6447246.8%221 W · 251 L-1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phoenix Mercury48c13,289$6,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,943.0914450.7%73 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Phoenix Mercury48c11,111$5,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,777.722365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Phoenix Mercury48c10,086$4,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,244.6979648.7%388 W · 408 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Golden State Valkyries51c8,680$4,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,383.831040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Phoenix Mercury49c8,067$3,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,114.3921447.7%102 W · 112 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Phoenix Mercury48c6,946$3,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,611.8314454.2%78 W · 66 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Phoenix Mercury47c5,902$2,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,120.1985948.4%416 W · 443 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Golden State Valkyries53c5,500$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9154438.6%17 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Golden State Valkyries51c5,272$2,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,691.58051.3%41 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Golden State Valkyries52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6002142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Golden State Valkyries53c4,700$2,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4915945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Golden State Valkyries52c3,583$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.7611540%46 W · 69 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Golden State Valkyries43c3,201$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.3411250%56 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Phoenix Mercury48c2,410$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.921,01247.9%485 W · 527 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries49c1,826$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.111,78751.7%924 W · 863 L+54.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Phoenix Mercury48c1,650$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.9690449.4%447 W · 457 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Golden State Valkyries52c1,323$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.132759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Golden State Valkyries52c1,155$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009047.8%43 W · 47 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Golden State Valkyries43c1,103$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.33432.4%11 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries52c1,079$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.61,63250.2%819 W · 813 L+37.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Phoenix Mercury48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.674951%25 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Phoenix Mercury48c887.5$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Golden State Valkyries50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011349.6%56 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Golden State Valkyries52c520$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.43351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Phoenix Mercury64c465.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.456051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Golden State Valkyries50c454.48$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.2432743.7%143 W · 184 L-23.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Golden State Valkyries62c435$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.714346.2%66 W · 77 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Phoenix Mercury53c372.89$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.267041.4%29 W · 41 L-11.1wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-29.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Phoenix Mercury53c368.26$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.085949.2%29 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Golden State Valkyries57c260$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.1511840.7%48 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Golden State Valkyries48c219$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1221150.2%106 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Phoenix Mercury50c212.1$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0510752.3%56 W · 51 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Golden State Valkyries52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10413249.2%65 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Golden State Valkyries53c192.49$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.025141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90f5…2573backed Phoenix Mercury48c178.79$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phoenix Mercury30c169.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2239150.4%197 W · 194 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c6b…7823backed Golden State Valkyries52c159.62$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832321.7%5 W · 18 L-7.1wins-0.31per pick52cpaid-57.8%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Golden State Valkyries54c148.07$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9613346.6%62 W · 71 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Golden State Valkyries53c137.74$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736440.6%26 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Phoenix Mercury53c102.04$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9612343.1%53 W · 70 L-11.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Golden State Valkyries52c96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.921428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Phoenix Mercury53c88.4$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.638744.7%173 W · 214 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Phoenix Mercury51c86.91$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5861242.3%259 W · 353 L-31.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa110…9b09backed Phoenix Mercury48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.331963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries47c82.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8893248.8%455 W · 477 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4023…5746backed Golden State Valkyries56c79.29$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Golden State Valkyries53c74.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.694748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9896…c430backed Golden State Valkyries53c74.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.692429.2%7 W · 17 L-5.1wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-47.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb79f…88e8backed Golden State Valkyries54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Phoenix Mercury49c71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.216835.3%24 W · 44 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9121…bd6cbacked Phoenix Mercury37c67.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+110.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked Golden State Valkyries54c64.73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.171040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Golden State Valkyries80c62.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023467.5%158 W · 76 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c30…34f5backed Phoenix Mercury77c51.25$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.972965.5%19 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcdb…02c3backed Golden State Valkyries53c50.37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Golden State Valkyries53c49.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.431526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-52%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Golden State Valkyries45c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Golden State Valkyries53c42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2656455.1%311 W · 253 L+27.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Golden State Valkyries51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.410543.8%46 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Phoenix Mercury49c39.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3526054.6%142 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Golden State Valkyries53c38.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4242749.4%211 W · 216 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x982c…0d6ebacked Phoenix Mercury56c38.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Phoenix Mercury48c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.687759.7%46 W · 31 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Golden State Valkyries54c33.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.943444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Phoenix Mercury49c29.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.310349.5%51 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0414…650abacked Golden State Valkyries53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Golden State Valkyries54c27.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Phoenix Mercury47c26.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.431250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Phoenix Mercury50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0916450%82 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Golden State Valkyries70c25.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.07650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Golden State Valkyries54c25.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.734961.2%30 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Golden State Valkyries80c25.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.311369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-8.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Golden State Valkyries54c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.585158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Golden State Valkyries49c22.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.09641.6%1 W · 63 L-26.1wins-0.41per pick42cpaid-97.6%equal weight17-0.29 edge/pick
0x8116…815ebacked Golden State Valkyries52c19.38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.