TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x520d…e474

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2875%21 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$31.97
Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Skybacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$361.42
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$436.74
Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$85.66
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$35.25
Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$81.74
New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$104.11
Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$110.96
Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$66.3
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$208.47
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFirebacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Stormbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$102.11
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Stormbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+70%+$133.49
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Skybacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFirebacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$86.52
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$85.81
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$166.67
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$25.67
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$53.77
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$65.24
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$92.47
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$132.4
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$168.75
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$55.48
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$147.76
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$78.95
Japan vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Mexico vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.84
All 17 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick72cpaid-64.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$42.42
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.55
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Samsung Lionsbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$115.13
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-52.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$18.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$80.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.