Asian League · resolved market
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55397681f0cdf59ac4ba72768511d003e870abcbb1c2f9745286059fa411e332
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 2,452$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.41 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 67c | 1,760$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.48 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 77c | 1,293$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.49 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed Under | 5c | 1,040$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +400%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 74c | 756.76$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 73c | 678.25$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.12 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 71c | 520.59$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 515.16$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.21 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…e6d7backed Over | 59c | 451.78$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.55 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 4c | 408.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 26c | 383.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.94 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 307.61$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 253.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.26 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 15c | 223$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 23c | 207.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.54 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…da4bbacked Under | 76c | 203.95$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ab…3e5cbacked Under | 66c | 182.94$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 31c | 172.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 164.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.62 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Under | 66c | 158.6$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 72c | 151.79$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 145.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 74c | 107.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 18c | 74.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.14 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 27c | 72.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…e474backed Under | 73c | 68.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 60c | 68.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 62c | 65.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Under | 28c | 54.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked Under | 75c | 51.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +70%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52aa…e5dabacked Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…344fbacked Over | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 28c | 47.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 29c | 46.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…c6e4backed Under | 42c | 43.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 55c | 37.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 56c | 34.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…5e20backed Over | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 45c | 24.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…4a25backed Over | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 52c | 22.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 88 | 6.8%6 W · 82 L | -22.0wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Over | 71c | 21.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 73c | 18.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -8.5wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.