Asian League · resolved market
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82e974e56bd515f0840d7728dc1b0077f1f4a8732549ce1fc9036325d12020b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 27c | 3,874$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.04 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 76c | 2,895$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.84 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 21c | 1,023$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.31 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 910.23$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.53 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 75c | 863.46$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.23 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 76c | 529.8$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.15 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 23c | 482.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 146 | 29.5%43 W · 103 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…ffd9backed Over | 26c | 347.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Under | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 26c | 228.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 56c | 177.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 73c | 148.79$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 48c | 146.03$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 74c | 119$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 28c | 118$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 346 | 59.8%207 W · 139 L | +49.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 24c | 101.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 39c | 89.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 377 | 59.4%224 W · 153 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 26c | 88.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Under | 74c | 87.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 73c | 63.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 76c | 63.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 33c | 60.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 28c | 60.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 376 | 62.5%235 W · 141 L | +61.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 28c | 55.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +56.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…a1fabacked Under | 79c | 50.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 25c | 48.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…3f4cbacked Under | 74c | 46.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 74c | 42.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 73c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…9cd7backed Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 73c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 77c | 19.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.