Asian League · resolved market
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0112ef3ee13159f7da5be408d3cf834a533930a90e19a3123fd77b0311425bbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 66c | 2,573$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.06 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 37c | 1,248$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.72 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 53c | 1,091$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.57 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 48c | 1,075$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.95 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Over | 46c | 1,000$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4587…7bc9backed Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 49c | 826.57$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.79 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 46c | 693.73$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.92 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Under | 54c | 627.17$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.43 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 54c | 544.7$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.56 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 47c | 421.28$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…cc26backed Over | 49c | 411.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 54c | 401$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.46 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 380.35$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.91 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 49c | 358.94$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Over | 47c | 358.47$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.48 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 349.1$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.6 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 16c | 306.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Under | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Over | 47c | 298.21$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.16 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 292$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.24 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 50c | 279.23$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 51c | 235.44$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.17 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 222.24$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…ffd9backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 47c | 205.83$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.42 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 205.14$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 163.02$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Under | 56c | 125.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Under | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 83.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 64.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 31c | 64.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +858.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 54c | 54.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 71c | 51.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 52c | 45.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 48c | 42.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Over | 45c | 41.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 47c | 40.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 39.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 69c | 36.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 48c | 34.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 52c | 24.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 21.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 52c | 21.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 69c | 14.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.