Asian League · resolved market
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd30b131ead254101cc34c07f72dba9b000ac8cf903c4a964f82d21c625ca1713
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4852…67c4backed No | 47c | 1,280$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 58c | 1,078$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.94 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 937.85$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.59 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Yes | 56c | 896.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 53c | 576.35$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.47 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 530.29$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.72 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Yes | 54c | 407.41$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 41c | 318$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.1 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 55c | 280.46$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.2 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 261.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…bbcdbacked Yes | 54c | 246.3$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 46c | 187.7$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…ffd9backed Yes | 56c | 177.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 44c | 166.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.52 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 30c | 148.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…2712backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 20c | 127$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 45c | 111.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Yes | 55c | 75.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked No | 46c | 52.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed No | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…4a25backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…9f3bbacked Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 54c | 38.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 73c | 37.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked No | 46c | 24.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 56c | 21.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692c…aadebacked Yes | 79c | 12.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.