WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48ff094b3b29cfd607bc55fea6cdc7178f31f132364f2106924fb125ae6d3914
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Feverof Phoenix Mercury, Indiana Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $245,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Indiana Fever | 79c | 32,249$25,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,752.46 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Phoenix Mercury | 13c | 29,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.99 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Phoenix Mercury | 36c | 22,222$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.9 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 16c | 14,031$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.88 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 12,060$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,256.3 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Indiana Fever | 73c | 11,890$8,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.83 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Indiana Fever | 69c | 6,939$4,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.1 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Indiana Fever | 78c | 6,750$5,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.77 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Indiana Fever | 77c | 6,521$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.43 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Indiana Fever | 67c | 6,506$4,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.06 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 5,643$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Phoenix Mercury | 14c | 5,441$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.98 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Phoenix Mercury | 17c | 5,434$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Phoenix Mercury | 19c | 5,385$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.39 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Phoenix Mercury | 36c | 5,014$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.67 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Phoenix Mercury | 0c | 4,810$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Indiana Fever | 60c | 2,545$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.05 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Indiana Fever | 76c | 2,385$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.19 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Phoenix Mercury | 29c | 2,374$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.28 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Indiana Fever | 71c | 2,170$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.08 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 31c | 2,153$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.79 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 1,899$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.92 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Indiana Fever | 71c | 1,821$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.87 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 1,640$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.97 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Phoenix Mercury | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 1,440$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever | 69c | 1,368$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.03 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3355…dd2fbacked Indiana Fever | 64c | 1,360$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Indiana Fever | 70c | 1,246$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.03 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Phoenix Mercury | 13c | 1,125$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 75 | 20%15 W · 60 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Indiana Fever | 78c | 1,119$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.87 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Indiana Fever | 62c | 1,111$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.18 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 1,071$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.59 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Phoenix Mercury | 12c | 1,062$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 3c | 1,003$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…9f95backed Indiana Fever | 56c | 959.23$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.25 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…44b1backed Phoenix Mercury | 2c | 937.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 933.85$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.14 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 17c | 794.24$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.33 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…b5c0backed Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 779.17$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.18 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 756$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Phoenix Mercury | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cb…d3a2backed Indiana Fever | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked Phoenix Mercury | 29c | 699.98$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Indiana Fever | 67c | 641.79$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 613.24$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…45c2backed Indiana Fever | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Indiana Fever | 75c | 591$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.1 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 561.62$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.94 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 549$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.53 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 527.42$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 29c | 525.3$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.01 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac1…d5a6backed Phoenix Mercury | 56c | 505.43$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.23 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 481.87$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.78 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Phoenix Mercury | 13c | 476.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 19c | 470$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…bb68backed Phoenix Mercury | 6c | 446.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Phoenix Mercury | 2c | 437.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1a…d74ebacked Indiana Fever | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 399.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Phoenix Mercury | 32c | 390.63$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Indiana Fever | 72c | 374.71$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.92 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Phoenix Mercury | 13c | 371$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Indiana Fever | 78c | 363.42$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 360$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 359.49$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0374…1782backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Indiana Fever | 71c | 339.78$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.42 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 315.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 18c | 314.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Indiana Fever | 67c | 311.33$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 282.61$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.78 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…e474backed Indiana Fever | 71c | 281.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Indiana Fever | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Indiana Fever | 75c | 267.02$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Indiana Fever | 67c | 253.73$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1efc…1a6bbacked Indiana Fever | 56c | 251.64$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 247$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.77 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Indiana Fever | 71c | 246.48$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…e875backed Indiana Fever | 67c | 245.28$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 241.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 23c | 233.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Phoenix Mercury | 11c | 230.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 229.11$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.68 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Indiana Fever | 68c | 201.76$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Indiana Fever | 78c | 201.67$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Phoenix Mercury | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Phoenix Mercury | 21c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Indiana Fever | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Indiana Fever | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Phoenix Mercury | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Phoenix Mercury | 29c | 195.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Indiana Fever | 71c | 190.14$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Phoenix Mercury | 20c | 189.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 189$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6938…e766backed Indiana Fever | 60c | 169.77$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Feverthis page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.