TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x88cb…d3a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2763%17 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+40.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$141.88
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$23.34
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$10.64
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.88
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$197.17
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$362.14
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$375.46
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$833Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$832.57
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,190.79
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$732Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$598.97
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$259.94
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$404.55
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$377.19
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$200.07
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$287.8
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$122.54
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$288.24
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$281.25
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dallas Wings vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.76
Atlanta Dream vs. Seattle Stormbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Dallas Wings vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.48
PortlandFire vs. Chicago Skybacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Stormbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$204.23
New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$133.11
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$362.17
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-57.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,127.66
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.12
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$710
All 5 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$200.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.