TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Atlanta Dream vs. Seattle Storm

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seattle Stormof Atlanta Dream, Seattle Storm
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$232,315
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$242,700

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,315 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm44c26,757$11,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,062.321,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream37c25,766$9,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,644.3499548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Atlanta Dream66c19,305$12,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,699.992951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Atlanta Dream15c18,119$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8002339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Atlanta Dream76c8,319$6,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,322.4411754.7%64 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Seattle Storm75c8,161$6,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.195149%25 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Storm23c7,740$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,922.6140550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Storm73c7,640$5,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,053.566851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Storm35c6,466$2,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,221.2119458.2%113 W · 81 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Atlanta Dream21c6,214$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.568228%23 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Atlanta Dream65c6,174$4,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,020.950952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Seattle Storm60c6,066$3,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,420.9412165.3%79 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Atlanta Dream74c5,512$4,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,078.612152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Seattle Storm38c5,287$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,259.0612144.6%54 W · 67 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm38c4,940$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,042.7589349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Storm24c4,873$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,724.0483748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Dream77c4,769$3,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,650.6923245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78cc…a081backed Atlanta Dream21c3,812$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.37850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Seattle Storm57c3,494$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.568762.1%54 W · 33 L-0.4wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Atlanta Dream2c3,489$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7144915.6%70 W · 379 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Seattle Storm23c3,178$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,441.6132049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5400…8a89backed Atlanta Dream1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid-83%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Dream56c2,790$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.385158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9706…13b9backed Seattle Storm69c2,502$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.415156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Seattle Storm44c2,280$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.567236.1%26 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3355…dd2fbacked Atlanta Dream53c2,070$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.1366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Seattle Storm62c1,980$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.935466.7%36 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce36…2b99backed Atlanta Dream51c1,892$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.47137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-69.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe790…698cbacked Atlanta Dream54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm64c1,735$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.941,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Seattle Storm77c1,729$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.334726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Atlanta Dream66c1,520$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023049.6%114 W · 116 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Atlanta Dream43c1,494$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.2974942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6051…3fcdbacked Atlanta Dream10c1,312$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Atlanta Dream23c1,252$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.792030%6 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed Seattle Storm63c1,209$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.382433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Atlanta Dream66c1,203$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.0215654.5%85 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Atlanta Dream62c1,171$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.243360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Atlanta Dream41c1,132$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.913844.9%62 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Storm48c1,098$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.4119428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc50…f8debacked Seattle Storm44c1,089$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.912944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Dream15c1,059$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8626147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Storm24c1,008$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.4792248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Seattle Storm50c1,005$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.0611351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88cb…d3a2backed Atlanta Dream1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Atlanta Dream75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd654…45c2backed Atlanta Dream74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7404060%24 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Seattle Storm66c992.53$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.174353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Seattle Storm70c969.32$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.0238645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Storm39c967.99$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.0350646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Atlanta Dream64c899.99$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.992744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x63df…63d1backed Atlanta Dream14c857.14$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207638.2%29 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+35.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Seattle Storm39c781.12$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.0330347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Seattle Storm24c768.57$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.887746.8%36 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Seattle Storm25c734.1$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.0412234.4%42 W · 80 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Atlanta Dream61c722.85$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4402268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Seattle Storm72c715.09$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.2525246%116 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Atlanta Dream74c713$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.6236154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cee…711ebacked Atlanta Dream53c661.8$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atlanta Dream13c602.34$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4137850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe29…69f9backed Seattle Storm67c566.86$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.882466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c4c…9f95backed Atlanta Dream54c557.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Seattle Storm40c497.3$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.5415250.7%77 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Atlanta Dream25c462.7$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.816633.1%55 W · 111 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Atlanta Dream25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007520%15 W · 60 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Atlanta Dream76c392.48$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.2914450.7%73 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Atlanta Dream76c387.34$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.384751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b8d…44b1backed Seattle Storm46c372.33$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.2310237.3%38 W · 64 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Atlanta Dream21c360$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.610838.9%42 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0c4…989abacked Atlanta Dream55c350$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1942060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Atlanta Dream58c340$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1962360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Seattle Storm58c338.96$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6723955.2%132 W · 107 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Seattle Storm63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Seattle Storm24c312.17$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.213441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Seattle Storm68c309.62$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6234753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Seattle Storm68c293.15$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4938744.7%173 W · 214 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Atlanta Dream66c266.99$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.194667.4%31 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Atlanta Dream74c266.71$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6629654.4%161 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Seattle Storm76c260.46$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.692825%7 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Atlanta Dream23c246.67$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Seattle Storm26c241.58$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.776437.5%24 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Atlanta Dream66c227.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503680.6%29 W · 7 L+8.2wins+0.23per pick58cpaid+48.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Seattle Storm25c214.81$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.119635.4%34 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Atlanta Dream66c214$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.248960.7%54 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Seattle Storm24c208$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.086741.8%28 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Atlanta Dream31c205.26$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1310340.8%42 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Atlanta Dream66c202.88$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.912359.3%73 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Atlanta Dream50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008038.8%31 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Seattle Storm25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Seattle Storm48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10410249%50 W · 52 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x130a…5c12backed Atlanta Dream57c195.95$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.691070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Atlanta Dream14c189.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2914936.9%55 W · 94 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Seattle Storm42c188.91$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.91850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Seattle Storm41c184.23$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.65650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Atlanta Dream64c183.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.755364.2%34 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Atlanta Dream20c163.29$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3910634.9%37 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Seattle Storm66c151.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4413358.6%78 W · 55 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Atlanta Dream66c151$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.663672.2%26 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd5f2…042ebacked Seattle Storm71c149.9$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.961266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Seattle Storm24c147$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9941145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.