WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9c1275b98f41484b170162255018b8cadf5d5c5ccdf5afa993661d6b752b05b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaed0…6f18backed Over | 51c | 2,086$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.37 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 2,058$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.76 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 49c | 1,015$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.35 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…edacbacked Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 460.77$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.17 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Over | 50c | 404.04$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.02 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Over | 51c | 394.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.07 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 298.31$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.68 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Over | 50c | 224$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Over | 44c | 154.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 141.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 71.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 56c | 69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 51c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 51c | 62.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 352 | 54.3%191 W · 161 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 54c | 49.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 56c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 22.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…133cbacked Over | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 166.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 167.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 169.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.