TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Seattle Stormof Atlanta Dream, Seattle Storm
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,596

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,930 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a26…937ebacked Atlanta Dream56c10,000$5,600 inLost-$5,599.982951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm45c6,567$2,930 inWon+$3,636.471,78751.7%924 W · 863 L+54.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Atlanta Dream59c4,496$2,672 inLost-$2,672.4423149.4%114 W · 117 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Atlanta Dream56c3,011$1,686 inLost-$1,686.113053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Storm44c2,955$1,300 inWon+$1,654.841051.2%210 W · 200 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Seattle Storm44c2,276$1,002 inWon+$1,274.6414346.2%66 W · 77 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Storm41c1,859$756 inWon+$1,103.279648.7%388 W · 408 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Seattle Storm42c1,383$576 inWon+$806.1834826.4%92 W · 256 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Atlanta Dream53c1,111$589 inLost-$588.839751.5%50 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Storm44c1,018$448 inWon+$569.8793248.8%455 W · 477 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Atlanta Dream1c750$10 inLost-$1045415.6%71 W · 383 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm48c742.16$356 inWon+$386.541,63250.2%819 W · 813 L+37.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Seattle Storm39c370.22$146 inWon+$224.3538744.7%173 W · 214 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Storm44c318.82$140 inWon+$178.5285948.4%416 W · 443 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Seattle Storm54c250.34$136 inWon+$114.7837650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Atlanta Dream43c232.36$100 inLost-$1002040%8 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Seattle Storm44c230$101 inWon+$128.86030%18 W · 42 L-7.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Atlanta Dream52c192.31$100 inLost-$1002552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Atlanta Dream56c178.75$100 inLost-$10012045%54 W · 66 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xffa3…08f0backed Atlanta Dream17c172.42$30 inLost-$303129%9 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-36.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Seattle Storm46c166.42$76 inWon+$90.0324852.4%130 W · 118 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Seattle Storm64c158.59$102 inWon+$56.53265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ccb…6cb3backed Seattle Storm50c105.36$53 inWon+$52.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Seattle Storm44c102.27$45 inWon+$57.272462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+31.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Atlanta Dream52c93$48 inLost-$48.365933.9%20 W · 39 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Seattle Storm45c90$40 inWon+$49.815748.4%76 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Seattle Storm56c88.55$50 inWon+$38.965269.2%36 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Seattle Storm56c75$42 inWon+$338860.2%53 W · 35 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Atlanta Dream28c71.43$20 inLost-$204546.7%21 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Seattle Storm44c69.89$31 inWon+$39.1433248.8%162 W · 170 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Seattle Storm44c68.18$30 inWon+$38.18633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Atlanta Dream56c60$34 inLost-$33.624847.6%118 W · 130 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0297…e67fbacked Seattle Storm69c57.71$40 inWon+$17.71966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Seattle Storm44c40$18 inWon+$22.462746.9%294 W · 333 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Seattle Storm64c37$24 inWon+$13.3211351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Seattle Storm64c37$24 inWon+$13.3224255.4%134 W · 108 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.