WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4d38171b43c72cc3bbc0b50fa28fc51acd6630dc6b2b2e6399d64fddda2effc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof Atlanta Dream, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 2,209$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.4 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 1,500$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.95 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked Seattle Storm | 52c | 1,224$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.83 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.72 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 981.19$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.41 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 957$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.64 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Atlanta Dream | 1c | 750$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 719.99$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.4 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Atlanta Dream | 49c | 617.41$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.53 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 462.41$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.58 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 408.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.58 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Seattle Storm | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Seattle Storm | 56c | 356$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Atlanta Dream | 3c | 350$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…e7acbacked Atlanta Dream | 6c | 202.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Seattle Storm | 56c | 179.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 154.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Seattle Storm | 67c | 149.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 113.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Atlanta Dream | 32c | 82.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 68.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Seattle Storm | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Atlanta Dream | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 21.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 166.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 167.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 169.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.