TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9706…13b9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
208
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: College Football, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 53 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST527.7%4 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-81.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71.69
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$312.49
Obama federally charged in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.88
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$143.08
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66.35
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$194.03
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$940.37
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61.73
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.35
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$78.58
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.77
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.5
Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.96
Will Elon register the America Party in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,196.05
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+108.1%+$541.49
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+135.5%+$2,879.37
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$218.46
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$438.19
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.81
Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.24
Will Hillary Clinton be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.39
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT5156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.68
PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 174.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Skybacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.53
PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.54
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempobacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.55
Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$80.52
Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$39.73
Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.67
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$803Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$803.45
Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempobacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
Dallas Wings vs. New York Libertybacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$194.05
Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$273.1
Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+110.2%+$377.78
PortlandFire vs. Seattle Stormbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,088Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+121.3%+$1,319.9
Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+149.9%+$841.37
Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,721Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$433.25
Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$525.94
Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,406.84
Atlanta Dream vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,723Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$779.41
Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.37
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,449Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$1,390.61
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick40cpaid+41.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$587.94
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$376.58
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,834Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,834
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.41
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.27
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$209.4
Hornets vs. 76ersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$13.31
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$195.68
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+1,566.7%+$626.67
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EDT+163.2%+$63.63
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT+177.8%+$24.64
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+44.2%+$45.93
All 19 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-50.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.48
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.93
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67.79
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.36
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.94
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.26
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+798.5%+$167.58
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.2
Will Dogecoin reach $0.38 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$289.68
Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$327.99
Will XRP reach $5.0 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$545.94
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.21
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.66
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.56
Will Dogecoin reach $0.40 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.31
Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.01
All 18 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$58.48
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.84
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$325.86
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$313.29
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$189.1
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Caranobacked Carano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.01
UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$75.99
Topuria vs. Hollowaybacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$118.56
Dawson vs. Garciabacked Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$18.15
Rodriguez vs. Moronobacked Morono · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$72.97
All 12 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PBC Fight Night: David Benavidez vs. Gilberto ‘Zurdo’ Ramirezbacked Benavidez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$44.25
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$57.84
Brian Norman Jr. vs Devin Haney Nov 22, 2025backed Haney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+111.3%+$118.3
Boxing: Will Terence Crawford win by Points or Decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$91
Boxing: Will Terence Crawford win by KO/TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.14
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$71.61
Will Fury beat Usyk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$266.84
Will Oleksandr Usyk KO Tyson Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$42.78
Will Tyson Fury KO Oleksandr Usyk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$24.46
Ngannou vs. Ferreirabacked Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.99
Beterbiev vs. Bivol: Who will win?backed Bivol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$210
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-54%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.42
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
The Ring - High Stakes: Ryan Garcia vs. Mario Barriosbacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37.9%+$53.42
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Diddy by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.54
Will Trump pardon Diddy by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Navy vs. Armybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+151.3%+$146.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$85.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Malta win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fernanda Torres win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adam Schiff federally charged by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$436
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,800
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.