Boxing · resolved market
Ngannou vs. Ferreira
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78bfbc67c8ed1fb55c829963004b8148732d95c8dc753834e58e2b1b8b71d15d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ngannouof Ngannou, Ferreira
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacc1…6a67backed Ferreira | 36c | 25,405$9,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,115.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Ngannou | 65c | 22,974$14,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,977.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa145…ca07backed Ngannou | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Ngannou | 65c | 1,493$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…19d9backed Ngannou | 46c | 1,282$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Ferreira | 22c | 561.54$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Ferreira | 37c | 500$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -65%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Ngannou | 74c | 404.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Ferreira | 31c | 365.39$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e91…45b8backed Ngannou | 78c | 333$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…4f4bbacked Ferreira | 31c | 304.19$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef70…d8f8backed Ngannou | 70c | 280.63$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Ngannou | 68c | 223.01$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Ferreira | 29c | 183.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Ferreira | 31c | 177.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Ferreira | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…d0f3backed Ferreira | 34c | 86.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1962…ffb3backed Ngannou | 62c | 60.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Ferreira | 38c | 52.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Ngannou | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…a526backed Ngannou | 69c | 34.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3299…2d7bbacked Ngannou | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7f…4856backed Ngannou | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…c2c4backed Ngannou | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…76acbacked Ngannou | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea69…26dabacked Ngannou | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7a26backed Ngannou | 68c | 20.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f3…8d6fbacked Ngannou | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Ngannou | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.