TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1971…c2c4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT3548.6%17 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick63cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Mets vs. Dodgersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.24
Orioles vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Mets vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Rockies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Mets vs. Dodgersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$16.69
Rockies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Yankees vs. Dodgersbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+48.1%+$40.47
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Padres vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Mets vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Orioles vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cubs vs. Marlinsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Reds vs. Piratesbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Royals vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Mariners vs. White Soxbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Astros vs. Raysbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Royals vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Phillies vs. Rockiesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Mariners vs. White Soxbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+55.1%+$11.03
Cubs vs. Marlinsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2025, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.26
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$90.11
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.35
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.12
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+41.9%+$12.13
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+43.9%+$17.56
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$50.91
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$13.76
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$21.08
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Bitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$18.82
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+226.5%+$158.54
Bitcoin all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+73%+$91.23
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+46.5%+$65.11
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.09
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeirabacked Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$77.14
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Bonfimbacked Thompson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Dvalishvili vs. O'Malleybacked O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopesbacked Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+69.2%+$17.99
Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblettbacked Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbullbacked Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Nikita Krylov vs. Dominick Reyesbacked Krylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Dan Ige vs. Sean Woodsonbacked Woodson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2025, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gujarat Titans vs. Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Mumbai Indians vs. Delhi Capitalsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Chennai Super Kings vs. Rajasthan Royalsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+30.1%+$13.55
Seahawks vs. Bearsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+100%+$10
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+57.9%+$49.96
Ngannou vs. Ferreirabacked Ngannou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+39.4%+$212.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dogecoin reach $0.60 before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.