MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fe1315efa123bfe15fcce8394b685cab43927309ff94913a792d83946981016
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Royals, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 27c | 2,564$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.17 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…a1d9backed Giants | 58c | 2,011$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.62 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Royals | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Royals | 44c | 1,840$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.06 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Royals | 38c | 1,828$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.46 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Giants | 56c | 1,780$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.7 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Giants | 57c | 1,350$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Royals | 13c | 1,200$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Giants | 73c | 1,125$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.66 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Royals | 14c | 1,001$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.88 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Giants | 57c | 999.97$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 31c | 998.93$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.56 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Royals | 44c | 973.38$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.29 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Giants | 68c | 971.92$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.89 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…8404backed Royals | 44c | 893$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…838fbacked Giants | 56c | 893$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.92 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Royals | 15c | 843.12$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.53 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Giants | 77c | 828.86$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.86 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Royals | 13c | 779.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Giants | 56c | 714.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.57 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Royals | 17c | 669$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.11 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Giants | 56c | 664.49$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.4 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Giants | 69c | 658.57$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.61 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Giants | 45c | 608.51$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.73 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Giants | 52c | 578.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.64 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 70c | 566.05$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.2 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Giants | 57c | 521.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.92 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Royals | 43c | 467.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 44c | 463.64$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…4f5abacked Royals | 36c | 350$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Royals | 22c | 350$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Royals | 42c | 309.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.9 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Giants | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Giants | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Giants | 52c | 255.36$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.36 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Royals | 44c | 254.1$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Royals | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Giants | 61c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Royals | 43c | 182.22$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Royals | 7c | 179.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…5d9abacked Giants | 58c | 173$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 11c | 172.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Giants | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…3bcabacked Giants | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…7892backed Giants | 53c | 133.74$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Royals | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Royals | 44c | 124$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Royals | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Royals | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…36a2backed Giants | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Royals | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 41c | 92.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a3…6ed8backed Giants | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Royals | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Giants | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Giants | 63c | 76.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Royals | 42c | 72.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6321…aeb6backed Royals | 55c | 71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Royals | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Royals | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed Giants | 56c | 54.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Giants | 56c | 54.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Royals | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a36…1fbebacked Giants | 57c | 39.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b8…2d83backed Royals | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…c2c4backed Giants | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Royals | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Giants | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Giants | 57c | 34.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Giants | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccd…c863backed Royals | 43c | 33.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…bb14backed Royals | 44c | 31.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Royals | 43c | 30.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4019…3838backed Royals | 43c | 30.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Giants | 57c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa6…4da4backed Royals | 43c | 25.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…b028backed Giants | 59c | 25.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…cad9backed Giants | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9f…3cc5backed Giants | 59c | 24.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…f57abacked Royals | 43c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c0…abdfbacked Royals | 43c | 23.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…59f5backed Giants | 59c | 23.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe3…1ed6backed Giants | 59c | 22.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…4a24backed Giants | 58c | 21.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eff…4ba2backed Giants | 58c | 21.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b10…c396backed Royals | 49c | 20.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30a1…a7c6backed Giants | 59c | 19.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29da…8ba5backed Giants | 58c | 18.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ef…40dbbacked Giants | 59c | 17.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.