Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-04?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef1ba8f98f4355a6458d8852fe784af7bb5bd0c533f765333756aa96dc48e7e8

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 4, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $123,143
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $127,973

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,143 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa8e0…1dd2backed No	56c	27,546$15,426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,120.36	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+7.7wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes	44c	22,727$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	108	48.1%52 W · 56 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes	6c	14,621$941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$941.47	796	50.8%404 W · 392 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No	58c	8,330$4,831 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,498.64	138	57.2%79 W · 59 L	+8.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes	41c	7,200$2,952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,951.99	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfda…bedebacked No	59c	7,000$4,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,869.96	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ba…dfbbbacked Yes	42c	4,272$1,785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,785	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+3.3wins	+0.22per pick	58cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No	66c	3,896$2,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,315.8	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No	73c	3,731$2,731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.88	386	45.3%175 W · 211 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes	42c	3,571$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	92	35.9%33 W · 59 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes	40c	2,910$1,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,152	414	37.9%157 W · 257 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No	58c	2,722$1,579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,143.12	114	54.4%62 W · 52 L	+8.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No	58c	2,420$1,409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,011.36	834	59.4%495 W · 339 L	+25.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x279a…c95fbacked Yes	43c	2,326$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No	60c	2,228$1,337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$891.23	321	58.9%189 W · 132 L	+13.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed No	58c	2,000$1,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$839.99	84	53.6%45 W · 39 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc814…dc7cbacked No	57c	1,772$1,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$761.81	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes	8c	1,599$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.92	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes	44c	1,514$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666	141	56.7%80 W · 61 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Yes	19c	1,500$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.79	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes	42c	1,429$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	120	53.3%64 W · 56 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f24…f47bbacked Yes	44c	1,364$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No	62c	1,355$835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.67	213	53.1%113 W · 100 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes	40c	1,220$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f84…560fbacked Yes	42c	1,190$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes	42c	1,190$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7221…df5ebacked Yes	26c	1,154$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-3.8wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Yes	16c	1,134$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.16	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes	42c	1,096$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461	122	52.5%64 W · 58 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes	42c	1,071$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Yes	41c	1,066$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-3.6wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3303…b5e3backed Yes	42c	1,002$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.69	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes	25c	1,001$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.99	91	11%10 W · 81 L	-7.4wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-46%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed No	75c	1,000$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	40	62.5%25 W · 15 L	-4.2wins	-0.11per pick	73cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes	8c	987.99$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.04	86	46.5%40 W · 46 L	+7.7wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No	58c	802.87$463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.71	815	59%481 W · 334 L	+32.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes	9c	800$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	58	25.9%15 W · 43 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Yes	44c	681.82$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes	10c	621.44$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.61	796	39.6%315 W · 481 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdb5…44bdbacked Yes	24c	617.39$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No	64c	550$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.5	697	72.6%506 W · 191 L	+83.8wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes	36c	500$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178	117	61.5%72 W · 45 L	+7.9wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a24…ea91backed Yes	44c	500$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	35cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2d…8f7bbacked Yes	41c	484.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Yes	44c	454.55$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde44…2adcbacked No	75c	400$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes	38c	400$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	1,204	50.7%610 W · 594 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No	55c	388.07$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.63	308	51.3%158 W · 150 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Yes	26c	384.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	94	36.2%34 W · 60 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No	58c	359.01$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.93	214	45.8%98 W · 116 L	+9.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Yes	44c	358.68$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.82	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Yes	19c	327.28$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.18	149	53.7%80 W · 69 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f30…f73bbacked Yes	41c	314.11$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.78	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	24cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes	21c	291$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.11	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…10a0backed Yes	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65a2…962abacked Yes	42c	256.81$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.86	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	16c	256.09$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.2	660	31.2%206 W · 454 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	41c	250$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.5	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-4.0wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed Yes	40c	247.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	64	35.9%23 W · 41 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	105	45.7%48 W · 57 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed Yes	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	169	53.3%90 W · 79 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8df6…4462backed Yes	42c	235.64$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+69.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x257c…49aabacked Yes	43c	232.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes	43c	232.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	135	52.6%71 W · 64 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No	57c	230.99$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.22	655	57.7%378 W · 277 L	+26.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Yes	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976f…acc7backed Yes	47c	206.79$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe112…987cbacked Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd483…756dbacked Yes	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b06…b091backed No	56c	200$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes	12c	188.94$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.23	328	22.3%73 W · 255 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No	58c	187.74$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.63	599	58.9%353 W · 246 L	+26.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x260d…9679backed Yes	43c	186.94$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.38	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Yes	44c	181.82$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	112	52.7%59 W · 53 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked No	57c	173.91$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.7	92	55.4%51 W · 41 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed No	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1472…e0cfbacked Yes	41c	170.73$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x616b…72f7backed Yes	45c	166.67$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	19c	148.29$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.18	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	+9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fbc…176bbacked Yes	27c	145.45$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	40cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No	58c	140.24$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.73	520	60.4%314 W · 206 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No	57c	140$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.2	420	48.6%204 W · 216 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Yes	15c	139.58$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c0…fd11backed Yes	42c	137.83$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.89	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-3.3wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8bce…c476backed Yes	36c	127.71$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.76	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11d4…3da8backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	41cpaid	-73.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e29…2106backed Yes	42c	124.26$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.19	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x214d…23f2backed Yes	43c	121.98$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.45	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b4b…6204backed Yes	42c	121.33$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb2…4d01backed Yes	42c	121$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.82	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec7…dc4bbacked Yes	44c	120.36$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78c2…8316backed Yes	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	73	41.1%30 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Yes	19c	114.51$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed Yes	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ed…16c2backed Yes	43c	110.77$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.63	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Yes	46c	109.96$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.58	126	23%29 W · 97 L	-11.6wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Yes	41c	109.76$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	194	60.3%117 W · 77 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-04?this page
Will Brighton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?Yes won
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-04?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-04?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event