TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton win on 2025-05-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$238,346
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$240,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,346 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes53c53,878$28,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,429.5579650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes32c17,813$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,70010848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf586…f614backed No49c17,766$8,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,114.971070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked No68c14,111$9,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,553.72433.3%8 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes51c13,894$7,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,122.5130851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed No40c10,969$4,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,553.513537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes30c10,681$3,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,193.0220744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked No67c9,004$6,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,974.2711548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed Yes33c8,030$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,650.051540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed No67c6,998$4,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.434766%31 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No68c6,611$4,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.6711454.4%62 W · 52 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes51c4,800$2,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,44837054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes34c3,823$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.611,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Yes57c3,364$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.3314953.7%80 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae3…fad6backed Yes33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf25d…1134backed No67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9901030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes33c2,997$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.0430666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes33c2,960$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.1768026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes33c2,326$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.6217745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes2c2,057$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425829.3%17 W · 41 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x594f…392cbacked No67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a37…2c5fbacked Yes55c1,812$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes31c1,797$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.9221445.8%98 W · 116 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3303…b5e3backed No61c1,585$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.064257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes44c1,481$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.7638645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Yes74c1,339$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.15238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c4…8441backed Yes67c1,300$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.65425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed No50c1,300$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6451450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked No67c1,194$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.027963.3%50 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cf4…15ddbacked Yes69c1,186$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.461752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No68c1,004$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.183459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2705550.9%28 W · 27 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c1…6038backed Yes33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9443…e5ecbacked Yes33c999.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+47.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No65c999.98$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.996055%33 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes11c960.95$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3179639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe97d…5e65backed Yes33c818.95$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.25837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No69c800.21$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.0713857.2%79 W · 59 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked No48c800$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4134839.6%19 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed Yes14c767$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.055547.3%26 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa088…d438backed Yes69c718.89$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.06955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Yes35c714.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed No70c712$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.6966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes51c580$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.26334.9%22 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed No54c566.09$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.45253.8%28 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes31c498$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9317447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3def…08b4backed Yes75c438.45$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.841942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked No67c425.98$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5721153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked No60c360$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.43836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Yes51c297.87$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.34353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No6c294.34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.6819743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xdb63…accfbacked Yes34c285$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e59…2405backed Yes34c280$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Yes54c274$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.969756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes50c265$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.51662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Yes34c264$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.766051.7%31 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde44…2adcbacked No79c254.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.43955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8042048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes44c248.24$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1097061.4%43 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No79c245.55$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5769772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x11d4…3da8backed Yes25c241.21$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.91714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-73.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked Yes50c239.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205558.2%32 W · 23 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd4ca…e168backed Yes34c235$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No47c224.26$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7566031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked No67c221.31$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.034566.7%30 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b06…b091backed No68c200.13$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.043860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f54…8805backed Yes33c180$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a3…6ed8backed Yes56c159.93$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c79…eb42backed No66c155$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x604f…9c80backed No66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2529653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No68c147$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0481559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ada…1f1bbacked No66c145$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9d…0791backed No66c145$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd439…4c80backed No66c145$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d8…a7d3backed No66c135$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c2…1193backed No47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf527…bbadbacked Yes33c120$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked No31c119.1$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.182055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked No69c115.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0411252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ff…93c3backed No67c114.16$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.67520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-70.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes33c113.65$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.526247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5c…1e7fbacked No66c105$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2939561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4827752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349150.5%46 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Yes16c88.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-44%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ba3…269ebacked Yes70c85.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Yes32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516955.6%94 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0635…5cb5backed No50c76.92$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6342755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18a1…bababacked No67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+10.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x92be…d717backed No40c71.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.377252.8%38 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed No43c62.72$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.755740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed No70c60.86$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2636845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x260d…9679backed No46c60.66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.761225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Yes33c60.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.859255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.