Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5da4ccfcbc26422037c19511a3e7d9257ddafadb3b40ae9050b655234e93e216
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 72c | 17,917$12,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,830.41 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Yes | 27c | 10,107$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,378.15 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057f…a7fcbacked Yes | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1e…9313backed No | 74c | 9,996$7,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,397.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…ea91backed Yes | 27c | 4,783$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Yes | 34c | 4,466$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…ac75backed No | 5c | 4,447$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.56 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 69c | 3,111$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.99 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 23c | 2,094$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.25 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 24c | 1,929$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.89 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 76c | 1,789$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.65 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked No | 20c | 1,587$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.53 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba39…f0dfbacked Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +198.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 68c | 977$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 79c | 825.41$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.17 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 43c | 595.73$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.66 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 51c | 585.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.47 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 27c | 560.37$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.5 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 75c | 534.07$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.07 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 31c | 521.88$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.87 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 77c | 517.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.95 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 73c | 386.11$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.86 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…7d99backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…22dbbacked Yes | 72c | 183.96$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 25c | 164$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…41d0backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…9e2bbacked Yes | 26c | 121.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…42bfbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…95c7backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df6…4462backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…077cbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc1…4485backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 74c | 93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d1…b694backed No | 75c | 72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…70f0backed Yes | 26c | 71.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdf…84b8backed No | 74c | 69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…67d9backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…d5d7backed Yes | 79c | 57.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 74c | 55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 30c | 53.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddf…a6a6backed No | 75c | 50.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…4356backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 25c | 49.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa088…d438backed Yes | 75c | 46.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4279…05cabacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e2e4backed No | 75c | 33.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 74c | 25.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf6…fdb1backed Yes | 78c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2025-05-04?No won
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.