TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87de…42bf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 60 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+46%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.05
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
White Sox vs. Marinersbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Blue Jays vs. Rockiesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Blue Jays vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Cardinals vs. Padresbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Royals vs. Blue Jaysbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$29
Nationals vs. Astrosbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$23.38
Mets vs. Giantsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Twins vs. Dodgersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$33
Braves vs. Cardinalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rays vs. Tigersbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Angels vs. Bravesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$29
Angels vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Mets vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Guardians vs. Yankeesbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$63
Mets vs. Dodgersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$37.41
Red Sox vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19
Nationals vs. Oriolesbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$46.22
Marlins vs. Cubsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
Orioles vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+194.1%+$33
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$37.29
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$35.9
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.5
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$19.29
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$56.73
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$30
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$32.5
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.88
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.8
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$36
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.4
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+70.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolves vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+37%+$19.23
Will Southampton vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+733.3%+$88
Will Fulham vs. Everton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Ipswich vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+25%+$12.5
Will Crystal Palace vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$53.86
Will Brighton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Brentford vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Arsenal vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+32.9%+$18.08
Will Ipswich win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Fulham win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-63%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+170.3%+$39.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.