MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x715dcb0f2be3a319fa15e1d9d1ec36e2ca3d6ea66b9fcaf10bb4143ec0dd0e8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Mets, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Giants | 57c | 20,659$11,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,759.78 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Mets | 45c | 16,572$7,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,158.73 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants | 56c | 14,303$8,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,009.59 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Giants | 7c | 10,219$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.1 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Mets | 42c | 8,642$3,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,012.56 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Giants | 0c | 6,941$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 58c | 5,452$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Giants | 40c | 4,972$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.01 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Giants | 2c | 4,150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 21c | 3,848$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.17 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Giants | 56c | 3,555$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.77 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mets | 43c | 3,500$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Giants | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 56c | 3,468$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.75 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Giants | 36c | 3,104$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.49 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mets | 48c | 2,869$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.65 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Mets | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.72 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Giants | 9c | 2,239$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.3 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Giants | 6c | 2,174$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.72 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Mets | 43c | 2,154$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.67 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Giants | 58c | 2,069$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Mets | 44c | 2,022$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.46 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Giants | 58c | 2,004$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.33 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Mets | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mets | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Giants | 56c | 2,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.98 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Giants | 8c | 1,988$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 46c | 1,971$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.59 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Giants | 54c | 1,835$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mets | 44c | 1,811$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.38 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Mets | 43c | 1,537$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.21 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Giants | 56c | 1,451$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.56 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 42c | 1,362$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Giants | 58c | 1,310$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Mets | 64c | 1,243$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.26 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Giants | 2c | 1,125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Giants | 56c | 1,081$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.58 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Giants | 2c | 1,080$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Giants | 59c | 1,020$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Mets | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Mets | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mets | 71c | 937.8$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.02 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Giants | 58c | 925.86$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mets | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mets | 44c | 850$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Mets | 41c | 816.49$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.73 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Giants | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Giants | 56c | 711$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.16 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Mets | 43c | 655.94$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.88 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Giants | 56c | 647$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.32 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Mets | 44c | 613$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.28 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Giants | 56c | 602.48$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.39 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Giants | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants | 7c | 580.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 24c | 522.95$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.83 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Mets | 44c | 516$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.96 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Giants | 55c | 504.68$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.57 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mets | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Giants | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Giants | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Giants | 31c | 475.16$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Giants | 47c | 454.4$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.74 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Giants | 56c | 446.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.32 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Mets | 52c | 446.1$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Mets | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Giants | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Giants | 6c | 389.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Giants | 56c | 375.74$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.41 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Giants | 45c | 353.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.71 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Giants | 45c | 343.57$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…1f11backed Mets | 48c | 335.42$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Mets | 62c | 325.54$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.53 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mets | 42c | 308.69$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.04 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mets | 60c | 300$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Giants | 13c | 299.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mets | 44c | 299.94$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.97 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Giants | 58c | 283.86$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…ef67backed Giants | 49c | 253$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mets | 45c | 249.75$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Mets | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Giants | 56c | 216.07$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Giants | 58c | 214.1$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e29…5ec9backed Mets | 45c | 213.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mets | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465f…0cfdbacked Giants | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f5…7049backed Mets | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Mets | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Giants | 57c | 198.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe69b…6afdbacked Giants | 32c | 192.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Giants | 50c | 181.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Giants | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Mets | 56c | 177.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.19 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Mets | 63c | 174$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Mets | 62c | 171.63$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Mets | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked Mets | 77c | 161.49$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Giants | 36c | 156.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.