Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham win on 2025-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c36046cf35b0e550f3afa1ad4a60789077f5c4c1ce9a528ba7768b9d6fb00db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab46…eb4ebacked No | 80c | 9,511$7,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 20c | 7,674$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.89 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…ff11backed Yes | 22c | 5,311$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 7c | 3,193$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.86 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 22c | 2,729$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.75 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 78c | 2,500$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 11c | 2,141$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.88 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 2,050$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…cfb1backed Yes | 25c | 1,810$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 9c | 1,620$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,584$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.25 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…1ad4backed No | 78c | 1,460$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…7ebebacked No | 78c | 1,435$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…952ebacked No | 78c | 1,409$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db3…6656backed No | 78c | 1,007$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…2adcbacked No | 79c | 930.86$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 23c | 914.04$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.11 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 76c | 881.02$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.08 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Yes | 7c | 851$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 5c | 772$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…75e1backed No | 77c | 606.06$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.39 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 21c | 550$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed No | 79c | 512.38$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.6 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…10a0backed Yes | 11c | 472.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 79c | 443.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Yes | 22c | 401$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 77c | 333.12$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 22c | 272.69$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 75c | 232.08$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Yes | 23c | 200.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 78c | 199.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked Yes | 23c | 198.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3a…544fbacked Yes | 21c | 184$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…5fcebacked Yes | 8c | 181.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…069dbacked Yes | 17c | 159.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked No | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe10…2a3fbacked Yes | 21c | 144$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c3…fb55backed No | 79c | 144$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 77c | 143$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 76c | 104.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 24c | 102.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…42bfbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…8a0cbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…4891backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 78c | 73.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c7…f049backed No | 78c | 72.21$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed No | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 79c | 63.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5737…2eb2backed No | 78c | 52.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…7a72backed Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked No | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…41e3backed No | 78c | 50.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 79c | 49.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…40edbacked Yes | 24c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a5…192ebacked No | 76c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 77c | 33.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…27fbbacked No | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…3dd0backed No | 78c | 32.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…78d1backed No | 78c | 30.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 80c | 28.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81c7…8b51backed No | 78c | 25.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed No | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…c284backed No | 79c | 22.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 78c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham win on 2025-05-03?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Fulham end in a draw?No won
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.