Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe48c32e546b27649ef09c5427914609e44906a1023182964f970dc143e8c4e6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed No | 47c | 28,700$13,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,473.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 47c | 24,694$11,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,717.44 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 53c | 11,419$6,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,367.04 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Yes | 53c | 11,000$5,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,170 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes | 52c | 10,084$5,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,843.2 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 42c | 9,132$3,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,806.69 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Yes | 69c | 7,805$5,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked No | 35c | 6,763$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.98 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 53c | 6,097$3,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.51 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.99 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Yes | 53c | 5,750$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.67 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 78c | 5,443$4,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.7 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Yes | 75c | 3,984$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 46c | 3,965$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.03 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 29c | 3,961$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.49 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 74c | 3,835$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.11 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 49c | 3,658$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.23 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 53c | 3,239$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.41 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 54c | 2,780$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.6 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 56c | 2,575$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.45 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 53c | 2,546$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.62 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd656…d127backed No | 26c | 2,390$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes | 51c | 2,346$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.68 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Yes | 74c | 1,876$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.37 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Yes | 52c | 1,731$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.77 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 56c | 1,666$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.99 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 49c | 1,639$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.11 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 55c | 1,609$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.76 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…e5ecbacked Yes | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 56c | 1,448$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.2 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…7892backed Yes | 55c | 1,445$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Yes | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.29 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes | 55c | 1,329$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.09 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…12f8backed Yes | 54c | 1,233$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.23 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 56c | 1,178$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.15 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 25c | 1,139$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.82 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked No | 1c | 1,100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 44c | 1,071$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.25 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Yes | 56c | 977.75$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 56c | 946.72$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.72 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Yes | 74c | 924.97$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Yes | 56c | 909$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.23 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Yes | 56c | 906.48$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.03 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5122…791ebacked No | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 46c | 791.41$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.13 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 34c | 772.49$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.26 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 53c | 756.72$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.29 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7221…df5ebacked Yes | 75c | 745.08$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.27 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Yes | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 47c | 697.71$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.64 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 64c | 669.99$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.9 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 53c | 663.75$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.67 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 47c | 600$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.38 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes | 54c | 555.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.75 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Yes | 54c | 496.7$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.14 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7936…9306backed Yes | 55c | 490.11$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.55 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…7470backed Yes | 53c | 487.91$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.32 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 45c | 469.91$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.04 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 35c | 431.48$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.27 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.09 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed No | 46c | 399$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.27 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 45c | 384.13$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.84 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4f…5b56backed Yes | 53c | 358.06$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Yes | 55c | 355.58$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed No | 24c | 350$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 35c | 299.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.24 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed No | 26c | 298.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.61 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 64c | 296.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 76c | 286.3$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 55c | 278.31$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.24 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 45c | 274.35$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.46 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Yes | 53c | 241.16$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a2…962abacked Yes | 52c | 236.46$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked No | 44c | 230.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 47c | 207.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x318a…360bbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed No | 49c | 187.61$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.31 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 55c | 183.53$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175a…1370backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…8316backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 56c | 172.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 44c | 172.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 49c | 155$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-03?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Fulham end in a draw?No won
- Will Fulham win on 2025-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.