TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5737…2eb2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2025, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rays vs. Yankeesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$13.53
Angels vs. Metsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Rockies vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Rockies vs. Red Soxbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Astros vs. Rockiesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Yankees vs. Redsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+50.5%+$33.59
Angels vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.5
Rangers vs. Twinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.5
Dodgers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Astros vs. Piratesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Rockies vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Angels vs. Guardiansbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Giants vs. Marlinsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$24.93
White Sox vs. Metsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
Rangers vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+174.4%+$33.14
Mariners vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$63
Angels vs. Dodgersbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$45.96
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$16.47
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.5
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$49.64
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked T-Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$41.09
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$54.35
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$29.67
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+300%+$48
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2025, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$34.22
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$21.64
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$33.22
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$42
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$34.58
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$39
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+25%+$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wings vs Sparksbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.