MLB · resolved market
Giants vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa81a7772c719750cb989561051ab5d60f97d4d7f991a59284d0f34293973917
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Giants, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Giants | 62c | 20,048$12,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,618.45 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 37c | 11,551$4,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,268.27 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Marlins | 36c | 6,586$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.19 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 34c | 4,924$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.16 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 28c | 3,589$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.75 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 17c | 3,517$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.35 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Marlins | 30c | 2,177$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.76 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Giants | 59c | 2,149$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.93 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Giants | 62c | 2,013$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.94 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked Marlins | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 13c | 1,760$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.44 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Marlins | 9c | 1,380$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Marlins | 38c | 1,320$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.54 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Giants | 68c | 1,135$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.97 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Giants | 62c | 1,100$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Marlins | 38c | 1,063$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.93 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Marlins | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…070fbacked Giants | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Marlins | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Marlins | 38c | 967$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.83 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Marlins | 38c | 939.59$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.04 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Marlins | 40c | 767.25$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.9 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Giants | 79c | 756$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.13 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Giants | 61c | 726.83$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.46 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Marlins | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Giants | 72c | 527.24$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.63 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…3526backed Marlins | 39c | 506.95$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Giants | 60c | 501.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.77 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 39c | 485.09$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.82 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Giants | 67c | 484.82$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…748dbacked Marlins | 40c | 465.03$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e6…10d7backed Marlins | 40c | 461.18$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Giants | 74c | 420$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Giants | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Marlins | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…1a05backed Marlins | 40c | 398.13$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe30…2950backed Marlins | 39c | 392.85$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 15c | 356.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…f9cdbacked Giants | 62c | 346.19$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47a3…f1ecbacked Marlins | 40c | 339.8$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e41…d051backed Giants | 62c | 319$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…e6a5backed Marlins | 39c | 316.81$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.71 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc41…1a5ebacked Giants | 62c | 312.08$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 25c | 300.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Giants | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Giants | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Marlins | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a2…ecdfbacked Giants | 62c | 297.52$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…d4cbbacked Giants | 62c | 285.42$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…6951backed Giants | 62c | 284.79$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78e9…2238backed Giants | 62c | 280.85$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Marlins | 7c | 280$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…c59abacked Marlins | 40c | 279.18$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Giants | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…7381backed Giants | 62c | 261.74$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.46 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa38f…7e3bbacked Giants | 62c | 260.58$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.02 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c8…074cbacked Giants | 62c | 258.19$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…1a6ebacked Marlins | 40c | 251.55$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…6337backed Marlins | 13c | 211.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4016…c9e2backed Giants | 77c | 209.09$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Giants | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Giants | 61c | 199.96$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.98 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b1…0fb8backed Giants | 60c | 170.9$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Marlins | 39c | 163$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Giants | 61c | 148.66$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Giants | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…d4aabacked Marlins | 38c | 144.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…0c49backed Marlins | 38c | 137.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1d…003dbacked Marlins | 39c | 136.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…051ebacked Marlins | 40c | 136.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb597…4ef9backed Marlins | 38c | 134.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Marlins | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Giants | 60c | 129.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…e591backed Marlins | 39c | 125.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Giants | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Marlins | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Marlins | 39c | 113$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Marlins | 38c | 112$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Marlins | 38c | 106.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Marlins | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Marlins | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Marlins | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 40c | 88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Giants | 62c | 87.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e19…dbf2backed Marlins | 39c | 85.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…b257backed Marlins | 39c | 85.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2871…2f3dbacked Giants | 62c | 83.32$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4480…1c25backed Giants | 62c | 83.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab01…25d2backed Giants | 62c | 82.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0533…7e94backed Giants | 63c | 82.03$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4672…94c9backed Giants | 62c | 81.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f5…67e0backed Marlins | 39c | 81.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4f…2ce5backed Giants | 62c | 81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x525c…f9a7backed Marlins | 39c | 80.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…ae97backed Giants | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f7…1ff1backed Giants | 62c | 80.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28eb…6bbbbacked Giants | 62c | 80.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.