TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Yankees vs. Reds

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yankeesof Yankees, Reds
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$378,384
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$390,748

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,384 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9708…925bbacked Reds35c290,863$101,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,462.7816643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Yankees65c113,512$73,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,729.1311153.2%59 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20e2…667fbacked Yankees65c76,200$49,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,3683625%9 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees65c65,314$42,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,859.841,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Yankees65c23,360$15,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,17620850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca52…3f41backed Reds35c9,999$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd8…1ca9backed Yankees65c9,998$6,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe38…1f16backed Yankees66c5,697$3,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,935.254776.6%36 W · 11 L+8.2wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+27.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Reds36c5,601$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00053150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Reds34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70041850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Yankees65c4,404$2,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.2597950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Reds35c4,256$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.7438047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Yankees62c4,000$2,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.1925550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Reds3c3,794$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.892,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees65c3,631$2,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.362,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees65c3,500$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2251,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Yankees66c3,086$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.3215851.9%82 W · 76 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yankees65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05041643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yankees65c2,998$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.261,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yankees73c2,699$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.19,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yankees66c2,200$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74869249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Reds14c2,021$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.127634.2%26 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Reds34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9931346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Reds1c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3046631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yankees72c1,626$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.1976456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Reds34c1,613$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55526847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Yankees66c1,612$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.0827953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Reds36c1,402$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Reds1c1,233$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.955053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Yankees79c1,197$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.335764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93dc…896fbacked Reds5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.984320.9%9 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Reds35c999.98$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.9933852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Reds34c999.96$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a5b…e79dbacked Reds41c924.92$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3774850%24 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Reds35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Reds34c810.25$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.4939041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees64c773.76$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.551,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Reds5c764.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5227213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Reds13c727.69$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5240547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Reds35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Reds27c667.56$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.9588549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Yankees65c662.48$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.875,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Reds4c517$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.18762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9171…a0c6backed Reds35c471.43$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Yankees65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5438455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Reds3c407$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.661,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Reds5c401.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Reds34c399.95$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.981,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed Yankees65c383.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.396753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…fa04backed Yankees59c339.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.314055%22 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Reds13c303.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4925416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yankees66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0347348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Reds35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10518243.4%79 W · 103 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Yankees66c295$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.340548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Reds4c289.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.382488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Reds35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010041%41 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Reds35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Reds34c275$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.544443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Yankees75c250$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8665549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Reds34c217.68$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0131145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Yankees66c212.12$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1238249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Reds19c210.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4070841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Yankees65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yankees66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6812451.6%64 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6350…2e3abacked Reds35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-42.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Reds35c199.74$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.772,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed Yankees66c198$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.322556%14 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Reds35c172$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.214146.8%66 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Yankees59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4917754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Yankees66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5231356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Reds15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.561346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8333…eb93backed Yankees66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Reds34c149.74$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.911,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Yankees62c137.19$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1354941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees69c128.14$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.364,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5874…a9d7backed Reds26c117.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024953%132 W · 117 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13af…d1cabacked Reds35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011145%50 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6281…53afbacked Reds35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees65c114$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.91,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Yankees66c106.06$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.062369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce09…6b0bbacked Reds35c100.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.265147.1%24 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5737…2eb2backed Yankees66c100.09$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.591957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Reds35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Reds35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3518236.3%66 W · 116 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e20…5e20backed Reds35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354070%28 W · 12 L+7.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+30.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yankees64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3614050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Reds35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3537552.5%197 W · 178 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed Yankees67c96$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.681968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…5f22backed Yankees66c90.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.911861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yankees66c88.46$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.081,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Yankees76c86.93$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8680680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xa116…6f3bbacked Yankees66c81.26$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.636648.5%32 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Yankees65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9274356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Yankees65c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Reds21c65.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411141.4%46 W · 65 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d2…c25dbacked Yankees66c62.88$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.384341.9%18 W · 25 L-6.4wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-29.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb1b2…9790backed Reds35c62.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Reds35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051245.1%231 W · 281 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees65c57.14$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Reds34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1750447.2%238 W · 266 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.