TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93dc…896f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT5129.4%15 W · 36 L+6.8wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+57.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
Bulls vs. Knicksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nets vs. Bucksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+185.7%+$19.5
Pacers vs. Grizzliesbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Cavaliers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$65
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$881Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$880.8
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$190.38
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$153
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$103
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+227.9%+$139
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+857.4%+$1,611.99
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$172
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.15
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.43
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$117
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+408.5%+$200.83
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$297
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.5
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+885.2%+$558.86
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2025, EDT4320.9%9 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Reds vs. Red Soxbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.84
Royals vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$127
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
Guardians vs. Cubsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Athletics vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.38
Angels vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.91
Orioles vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Royals vs. Marinersbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$57
Reds vs. Red Soxbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Padres vs. Philliesbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Twins vs. Tigersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Marlins vs. Diamondbacksbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$61
Rockies vs. Brewersbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$43
Mariners vs. Rangersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
Cubs vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Blue Jays vs. Red Soxbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$34.5
Nationals vs. Angelsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$169.94
Phillies vs. Bravesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Mets vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$258.5
Athletics vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$369.88
Twins vs. Tigersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.44
Marlins vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Mariners vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.28
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT2630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+181.7%+$258
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$122
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$129
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$94.49
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+100%+$75
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.75
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.75
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+79%+$71.46
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+237.8%+$176
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$58
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+463.7%+$477.1
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.2
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.8
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.7
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.71
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Perricardbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$534.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.