NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd5c3f4d0a2219a79e811bfec71dc6ee8ac67ad32c5255eb967268db651e7c20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 714 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Wild | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.98 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Golden Knights | 60c | 11,998$7,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.33 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 11,200$6,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…adf4backed Wild | 40c | 9,997$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8834…73e8backed Golden Knights | 60c | 9,995$5,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,998 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Golden Knights | 70c | 9,120$6,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.15 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Wild | 40c | 5,379$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.73 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Golden Knights | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.99 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wild | 18c | 3,899$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.93 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Golden Knights | 60c | 3,500$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Wild | 40c | 3,488$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…303bbacked Wild | 30c | 3,338$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wild | 0c | 3,040$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Golden Knights | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Golden Knights | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Wild | 12c | 2,900$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.66 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Wild | 20c | 2,529$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.77 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Golden Knights | 60c | 2,421$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.28 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wild | 39c | 2,395$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.69 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Wild | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 2,133$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.36 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Wild | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.96 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…b40dbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 1,879$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.08 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Wild | 26c | 1,298$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcac…d069backed Wild | 40c | 1,045$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wild | 39c | 1,023$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.12 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Wild | 40c | 1,007$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.67 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Wild | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Golden Knights | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Wild | 38c | 955.31$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.14 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Wild | 39c | 925.8$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.06 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Golden Knights | 60c | 896$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.4 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wild | 26c | 873.04$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.83 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Wild | 18c | 804.49$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.81 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c35dbacked Wild | 2c | 770$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa08d…4ddbbacked Wild | 41c | 760$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 739.83$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Golden Knights | 60c | 694$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.6 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Wild | 14c | 675$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5e…3ce7backed Golden Knights | 78c | 601.65$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Golden Knights | 61c | 573.77$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Wild | 40c | 564.02$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.61 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Wild | 40c | 548.78$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Golden Knights | 71c | 547.99$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.35 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Wild | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9614…5247backed Wild | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Golden Knights | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Golden Knights | 59c | 489.54$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.71 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…4cb2backed Golden Knights | 60c | 459$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…252ebacked Golden Knights | 60c | 426.95$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Golden Knights | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Wild | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 350$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…6c96backed Golden Knights | 60c | 346.77$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.71 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 336$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…9026backed Wild | 36c | 330.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1647…2187backed Wild | 41c | 307.32$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 306.98$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.86 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551a…b3dcbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 304.31$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.77 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Wild | 35c | 274.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Golden Knights | 58c | 266.57$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.18 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Wild | 22c | 262.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Wild | 39c | 254.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Golden Knights | 59c | 254$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.14 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…cb1cbacked Wild | 16c | 253.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Wild | 41c | 252.25$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wild | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Golden Knights | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wild | 39c | 248.42$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee3…157cbacked Wild | 41c | 238.91$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Wild | 13c | 213.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x525a…ebe8backed Wild | 41c | 207.18$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadbb…3da1backed Wild | 41c | 207.18$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Golden Knights | 59c | 202$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Wild | 40c | 201.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…8483backed Wild | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21cf…a38ebacked Golden Knights | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x386c…bc0dbacked Wild | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…6b5fbacked Wild | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…fbe3backed Golden Knights | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…d536backed Wild | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd5…a72abacked Golden Knights | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…ed65backed Wild | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0669…8717backed Wild | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…c492backed Wild | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaef2…95adbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a7…b4c8backed Golden Knights | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e24…ab78backed Golden Knights | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…9abcbacked Wild | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1379backed Wild | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25a5…81f4backed Golden Knights | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e57…836cbacked Wild | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcd…7ec6backed Golden Knights | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…8c53backed Wild | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…ce4ebacked Golden Knights | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28d5…7f11backed Golden Knights | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133d…0559backed Wild | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.